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Finland: Second Division - Group A Standings

30.07.2026 14:00 UTC

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Finland: Second Division - Group A Standings

Union Plaani - PEPO Lappeenranta

Football

Union Plaani

- : -

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PEPO Lappeenranta

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 PEPO Lappeenranta — 57%

Pure model vs market (2 · PEPO Lappeenranta): model 50% · market 58% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Union Plaani22.7%

X · draw19.9%

2 · PEPO Lappeenranta ✓ Pick57.3%

Model estimate: win Union Plaani 22.7%, draw 19.9%, win PEPO Lappeenranta 57.3%. Model favourite — PEPO Lappeenranta.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2PEPO Lappeenranta (odds1.58) Score 1:2 confidence 57%

• Model backs PEPO: probability 57% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
• no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Plaani - PEPO Lappeenranta July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: PEPO Lappeenranta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.20 / X 4.70 / 2 1.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%

1 22.1%

X 19.8%

2 ✓ Pick 58.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 14:00 UTC

Match center

Union Plaani - PEPO Lappeenranta

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Union Plaani 22.3% 22.7%

Draw 19.9% 19.9% draw risk

PEPO Lappeenranta 57.8% 57.3% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 22.7% / 19.9% / 57.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,264 / 1,572 Union Plaani / PEPO Lappeenranta

RD 176 / 172 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 912-1,617 / 1,229-1,915 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.58 market consensus · no value · model 57.3%

X 4.59 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 4.13 market consensus · no value · model 22.7%

Double chance

12 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 80.1%

1X 2.15 market consensus · no value · model 42.7%

X2 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 77.3%

Handicap

2 -1 1.90 market consensus · line only

2 0 1.29 market consensus · line only

1 +1 1.80 market consensus · line only

1 0 3.30 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 3.04 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.33 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	3.04 32.9%
yes	1.33 75.2%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.12 89.3%	1.15 87.0%
1x	2.10 47.6%	2.20 45.5%
x2	1.17 85.5%	1.19 84.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	4.32 23.2%
X	2.64 37.9%
	2.00 50.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	1.83 54.6%
Under 1.5	1.87 53.5%

Match center

Union Plaani

W L L W L

24.07 14:00 UTC Finland: Second Division - Group A Standings

Union Plaani 1:0 PPYu

18.07 11:00 UTC Finland: Second Division - Group A Standings

Union Plaani 3:6 Atlantis

11.07 12:00 UTC Finland: Second Division - Group A Standings

Union Plaani 0:2 MyuPa

04.07 11:00 UTC Finland: Second Division - Group A Standings

Union Plaani 2:1 PuiU

13.06 11:30 UTC Finland: Second Division - Group A Standings

Union Plaani 2:4 Lakhden Reypas

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.6 Scored

2.6 Conceded

6 Points

PEPO Lappeenranta

W L W L L

24.07 14:00 UTC Finland: Second Division - Group A Standings

PEPO Lappeenranta 3:2 PuiU

18.07 12:00 UTC Finland: Second Division - Group A Standings

PEPO Lappeenranta 0:2 Kiffen

11.07 12:00 UTC Finland: Second Division - Group A Standings

PEPO Lappeenranta 2:0 KhPS

04.07 11:00 UTC Finland: Second Division - Group A Standings

PEPO Lappeenranta 1:5 Atlantis

13.06 10:00 UTC Finland: Second Division - Group A Standings

PEPO Lappeenranta 1:2 KhIFK

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.4 Scored

2.2 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyUnion Plaani - PEPO Lappeenranta

Union Plaani

0 matches total

PEPO Lappeenranta

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Union Plaani - PEPO Lappeenranta

AI match prediction Union Plaani - PEPO Lappeenranta July 30, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Union Plaani - PEPO Lappeenranta

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history