WC 2026. 3rd place
WC 2026. 3rd place
05.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished

WC 2026. 3rd place

Ilves 2 - EPS

Futbol
I
Ilves 2
4 : 2
Finished
E
EPS

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ilves 2 - EPS July 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Ilves 2. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.56 / X 4.60 / 2 4.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 59.6%
X 20.2%
2 20.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

Ilves 2 - EPS

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.48 market consensus · line only
X 4.55 market consensus · line only
1 1.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 1.15 market consensus · line only
X2 2.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.85 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.85 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.37 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.85 35.1%
yes 1.37 73.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.13 88.5% 1.16 86.2%
1x 1.13 88.5% 1.16 86.2%
x2 2.23 44.8% 2.30 43.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.05 48.8%
X 2.55 39.2%
4.33 23.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 1.5 1.86 53.8%
Match center
Ilves 2
W
13.06 12:00 UTC Finland: Second Division - Group B Standings
Ilves 2 7:1 NYaS
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
7.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
EPS
L W
13.06 12:00 UTC Finland: Second Division - Group B Standings
EPS 1:2 Abo
06.06 12:00 UTC Finland: Second Division - Group B Standings
EPS 3:1 Khameenlina
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIlves 2 - EPS

Ilves 2
0 matches total
EPS
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history