Finland. Superleague
Finland. Superleague
11.07.2026 12:00 UTC Вейккауслиига. 1-й тур
Finished

Finland. Superleague

Gnistan - Mariehamn

Futbol
Gnistan
Gnistan
4 : 2
Finished
M
Mariehamn

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gnistan - Mariehamn 11 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gnistan.

Line favourite market consensus: Gnistan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 5.14 / 2 8.46
  • 1X2 market: Gnistan 70.9% / X 18.1% / Mariehamn 11.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 70.9%
X 18.1%
2 11.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Gnistan 4 : 0 Mariehamn
11.30
X5.40
28.80

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:7/7 ready

Google AI updated10.07.2026 13:06 UTC
1 71% ✓ favourite
X 18%
2 11%
Score3:0 Total goals: ТБ 2.5 Bet:Главной и наиболее надежной ставкой на этот матч видится чистая победа хозяев поля, которые значительно превосходят аутсайдера в классе, форме и организации игры.
DeepSeek updated10.07.2026 13:06 UTC
1 72% ✓ favourite
X 20%
2 8%
Score2:0 Total goals: ТБ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:Победа Гнистан (П1)
Per AI data H2H: 3-0
ChatGPT updated10.07.2026 13:09 UTC
1 68% ✓ favourite
X 20%
2 12%
Score2:0 Total goals: ТБ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:П1
Claude updated10.07.2026 13:11 UTC
1 71% ✓ favourite
X 18%
2 11%
Bet:1
Details

Thinking about analyzing a specific Finnish football match with current form data, injury information, and head-to-head records to provide probability assessments and betting recommendations
Thinking about analyzing a specific Finnish football match with current form data, injury information, and head-to-head records to provide probability assessments and betting recommendations
"Lahti" "Gnistan" 4 July 2026 result score Veikkausliiga

9 results

Lahti vs Gnistan Live Score & Result | ODDSLOT
oddslot.com
Lahti vs Gnistan Helsinki | 4 July 2026 | Veikkausliiga Live Score & Watchalong - YouTube
www.youtube.com
Lahti v Gnistan 04/07/2026 | Football - Flashscore
www.flashscore.com
Veikkausliiga 2026 » Results & Standing
www.worldfootball.net
FC Lahti - Gnistan Helsinki, 4 July 2026, Veikkausliiga, Finland | TipsterArea.com
tipsterarea.com
Veikkausliiga table, schedule & stats | Sofascore
www.sofascore.com
Finnish Veikkausliiga Matches, Results - AiScore
m.aiscore.com
FC Lahti vs IF Gnistan Prediction, Stats, H2H - 04 Jul 2026
www.forebet.com
Lahti Live Score, 2026 Fixtures, Results - AiScore
www.aiscore.com
Gnistan vs Mariehamn Football Betting Tips

www.sportsbettingam.com

Gnistan IFK Mariehamn loukkaantumiset kokoonpano heinäkuu 2026

10 results

Etusivu - IF Gnistan
gnistan.fi
Ennakko: IFK Mariehamn-IF Gnistan | Uutiset | Veikkausliiga
www.veikkausliiga.com
Ennakko: VPS-IFK Mariehamn | Uutiset | Veikkausliiga
www.veikkausliiga.com
Veikkausliiga » IFK Mariehamn against IF Gnistan » Lineup
www.worldfootball.net
Gnistan live tulospalvelu, tulokset, otteluohjelma, Gnistan - FC Lahti live | Jalkapallo, Suomi
www.flashscore.fi
Ennakko: IF Gnistan-IFK Mariehamn | Uutiset | Veikkausliiga
www.veikkausliiga.com
Jalkapallo: IFK Mariehamn - kokoonpano
www.flashscore.fi
Veikkausliigaennakko 2026: IFK Mariehamn
www.suomifutis.com
IFK Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga
www.veikkausliiga.com
IF Gnistan | Veikkausliiga
www.veikkausliiga.com

Qwen updated10.07.2026 13:09 UTC
1 72% ✓ favourite
X 18%
2 10%
Score2:0 Total goals: ТБ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:Победа Гнистана с форой (-1.5)
Per AI data H2H: 5-0-0
Kimi updated10.07.2026 13:11 UTC
1 62% ✓ favourite
X 20%
2 18%
Score2:0 Total goals: ТБ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:П1 (Гнистан)
Per AI data H2H: 6-2-4
GLM 5.2 updated10.07.2026 13:13 UTC
1 56% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 16%
Score1:0 Total goals: ТМ 2.5 BTTS:Нет Bet:Тотал матча меньше 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 1-2-1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 71% 18% 11% 3:0 ТБ 2.5 Главной и наиболее надежной ставкой на этот матч видится чистая победа хозяев поля, которые значительно превосходят аутсайдера в классе, форме и организации игры.
DeepSeek 72% 20% 8% 2:0 ТБ 2.5 Нет Победа Гнистан (П1)
ChatGPT 68% 20% 12% 2:0 ТБ 2.5 Нет П1
Claude 71% 18% 11% 1
Qwen 72% 18% 10% 2:0 ТБ 2.5 Нет Победа Гнистана с форой (-1.5)
Kimi 62% 20% 18% 2:0 ТБ 2.5 Нет П1 (Гнистан)
GLM 5.2 56% 28% 16% 1:0 ТМ 2.5 Нет Тотал матча меньше 2.5

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 12:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Gnistan 67%
💹 Market Gnistan 7085%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Gnistan - Mariehamn

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Гнистан - Мариехамн, 11 июля 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Финляндии по футболу 2026, Вейккауслиига. 1-й тур. Гнистан - Мариехамн, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 4:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.47 market consensus · line only
X 7.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.25 Fonbet · line only
2 0 6.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.95 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5%
Х 4.70 21.3% 5.40 18.5% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0%
П2 9.80 10.2% 9.10 11.0% 8.00 12.5% 7.80 12.8% 8.50 11.8% 8.50 11.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.48 67.6% 1.87 53.5%
yes 2.45 40.8% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.06 94.3%
1x 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3%
x2 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 9.00 11.1%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 14.00 7.1%
0_1 19.00 5.3%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 41.00 2.4%
0_3 100.00 1.0%
0_4 100.00 1.0%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 6.50 15.4%
1_1 8.00 12.5%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 19.00 5.3%
1_3 65.00 1.5%
1_4 100.00 1.0%
1_5 100.00 1.0%
Match center
Gnistan
L W
04.07 10:00 UTC Finland: VyUSAya liga Standings
Gnistan 0:1 Lakhti
13.06 14:00 UTC Finland: VyUSAya liga Standings
Gnistan 3:0 Mariekhamn
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
3 Points
Mariehamn
L L
04.07 13:00 UTC Finland: VyUSAya liga Standings
Mariehamn 0:4 VPSVPS
13.06 14:00 UTC Finland: VyUSAya liga Standings
Mariehamn 0:3 GnistanGnistan
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.5 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGnistan - Mariehamn

Gnistan
1 matches total
Mariehamn
Gnistan: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Mariehamn: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Gnistan 3:0 (13.06 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 13.06 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 3

Match history

13.06 14:00 UTC Finland: VyUSAya liga Standings
Gnistan
3:0
Mariekhamn
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Gnistan
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Mariehamn
Gnistan Team comparison Mariehamn
14 Игры 14
5 Победы 0
4 Ничьи 4
5 Поражения 10
19 Забито 6
18 Пропущено 29
19 Очки 4
0 Атаки 0
0 Опасные атаки 0
0 Голевые моменты 0
13.4 Удары по воротам 8.33
3.93 Удары в створ 2.64
еждения 1.71 0.07 Удаления 0 Голы Саку Юлятупа 1:0 6' Аделеке Акиньеми Йоаким Латонен 2:0 51' Adam Stroud Adam Larsson 2:1 53' Аделеке Акиньеми 3:1 71' Вилле Нуньес 3:2 79' Данни Перес 4:2 90+4' Незабитые пенальти Роман Ерёменко 23'

Гнистан Мариехамн 14 Игры 14 5 Победы 0 4 Ничьи 4 5 Поражения 10 19 Забито 6 18 Пропущено 29 19 Очки 4 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 13.4 Удары по воротам 8.33 3.93 Удары в створ 2.64 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 3.5 Угловые 3.29 1.5 Оффсайды 2.43 12.86 Фолы 10.93 40.5 % владения мячом 42.79 2.14 Предупреждения 1.71 0.07 Удаления 0 Голы Саку Юлятупа 1:0 6' Аделеке Акиньеми Йоаким Латонен 2:0 51' Adam Stroud Adam Larsson 2:1 53' Аделеке Акиньеми 3:1 71' Вилле Нуньес 3:2 79' Данни Перес 4:2 90+4' Незабитые пенальти Роман Ерёменко 23'