Match center
Start
13.06.2026 14:00 UTC
13.06.2026 14:00 UTC
Вейккауслиига. 1 round
Finished
Finland. Superleague
Mariehamn - Gnistan
M
Mariehamn
0
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mariehamn - Gnistan June 13, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gnistan.
Line favourite market consensus: Gnistan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.59 / X 3.38 / 2 1.98
- 1X2 market: Mariehamn 25.8% / X 27.4% / Gnistan 46.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.9%
1
25.8%
X
27.4%
2
46.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
VeikkausliigaLeague table
Mariehamn
LLLDD
Gnistan
WWLWD
Best price
across 13 books
1
4.00
Pinnacle
X
3.76
Pinnacle
2
2.03
Dafabet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Mariehamn
W-D-L 1-4-5
Scored 0.66
Conceded 1.44
xG 1.02
xGA 1.86
Corners 3.6
1 -6.56
X +5.10
2 -1.73
1 (DNB) -3.48
Gnistan
W-D-L 3-2-5
Scored 1.34
Conceded 1.76
xG 1.26
xGA 1.79
Corners 3.1
1 -0.85
X -3.10
2 -1.36
1 (DNB) -0.53
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Mariehamn
Rating 1398
xG 0.91
Win 22%
Gnistan
Rating 1513
xG 1.58
Win 53%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Match center
Mariehamn - Gnistan
Итоговый протокол and результаты встречи Мариехамн - Гнистан, 13 июня 2026. Обзор and статистика matches, точный счет. Чемпионат Финляндии по футболу 2026, Вейккауслиига. 1 round. Мариехамн - Гнистан, кто победил, онлайн трансляция matches.
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
yes
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X
3.43
market consensus · line only
1
3.64
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1X
8.50
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.07
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
1.42
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.06
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
6.20
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.25
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
3.50
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.06
Fonbet · line only
Yes
6.80
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.60 27.8% | 3.64 27.5% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | |
| X | 3.35 29.9% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 1.94 51.6% | 1.99 50.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.95 51.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.06 94.3% |
| yes | 6.80 14.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.01 99.0% |
| 1x | 8.50 11.8% |
| x2 | 1.06 94.3% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 4.00 25.0% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 7.30 13.7% | |
| 2.35 42.6% | |
| 6.20 16.1% | |
| 7.00 14.3% | |
| 1.42 70.4% | |
| 1.18 84.8% | |
| 1.42 70.4% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.52 65.8% | |
| 5.20 19.2% | |
| 7.80 12.8% | |
| 9.00 11.1% | |
| 1.07 93.5% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.06 94.3% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMariehamn - Gnistan
Mariehamn
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Mariehamn
Team 2
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Team comparison
Gnistan
9
Games
9
0
Wins
3
4
Draws
2
5
Losses
4
5
Scored
13
14
Conceded
15
4
Points
11
0
Attacks
0
0
Dangerous attacks
0
0
Big chances
0
7.25
Shots on goal
10.2
2.44
Shots on target
3.44
Мариехамн Гнистан 9 Игры 9 0 Победы 3 4 Ничьи 2 5 Поражения 4 5 Забито 13 14 Пропущено 15 4 Очки 11 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 7.25 Удары по воротам 10.2 2.44 Удары в створ 3.44 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 2.56 Угловые 3.56 2.44 Оффсайды 1.56 9.89 Фолы 12.78 40.44 % владения мячом 38.78 1.33 Warnings 2.22 0 Sendoffs 0.11 Следующий match 11.07.2026 Finland — Вейккауслиига Гнистан –:– Мариехамн Вейккауслиига. 1 round Голы Marcelo Costa Йоаким Латонен 0:1 13' Йоаким Латонен Саку Юлятупа 0:2 28' Данни Перес Роман Ерёменко 0:3 65' Наказания Kevin Lund 59' Себастьян Дальстрём 59' Артур Атара 90' Йебоа Аманква 90+2'