Match center
Start
05.04.2026 14:00 UTC
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05.04.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished
First League
Dobrudzha - Levski Sofia
2
:
2
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Levski Sofia — 64%
Model estimate: win Dobrudzha 13.9%, draw 21.8%, win Levski Sofia 64.4%. Model favourite — Levski Sofia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dobrudzha - Levski Sofia April 5, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Levski Sofia.
Strongest: Levski Sofia - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.32 / X 4.26 / 2 1.35
- 1X2 market: Dobrudzha 11.0% / X 21.4% / Levski Sofia 67.5%
- Glicko: Dobrudzha 13.9% / X 21.8% / Levski Sofia 64.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 13.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.6%
1
11.0%
X
21.4%
2 ✓ Pick
67.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5
49.2%
Under 2.5
50.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 2
Main outcome
Agreement
4/4
Confidence
66.5%
Total
Under 2.5
Score
0:1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Levski Sofia 64%
💹 Market
Levski Sofia 6754%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Dobrudzha - Levski Sofia
Dobrudzha: Win 9.00 Dobrudzha: Draw 4.20 Levski Sofia Win: 1.40 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.15 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.67 Individualnyy total golov Dobrudzha bolshe 0.5: 2.10 Individualnyy total golov Dobrudzha menshe 0.5: 1.67 Individualnyy total golov Lev…
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:2
Events
17
Statistics
26
Lineups
17
min
Event
Player
Team
27'
27' Yellow Card
Levski Sofia
45+1'
45+1' Yellow Card
Dobrudzha
46'
46' Substitution 1 | G. Trdin | assist/sub out: G. Kostadinov
Levski Sofia
63'
63' Normal Goal
Dobrudzha
66'
66' Substitution 5 | J. Perea | assist/sub out: A. Oko-Flex
Levski Sofia
66'
66' Substitution 6 | C. Ohene | assist/sub out: Rildo
S. Watson
Levski Sofia
66'
66' Substitution 7 | J. Perea | assist/sub out: A. Oko-Flex
Levski Sofia
74'
74' Substitution 8 | Valdumar | assist/sub out: G. Trifonov
Dobrudzha
Metric
Dobrudzha
Levski Sofia
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
0.74
0.8
final
Zablokirovannye udary
1
5
final
Shots off target
3
3
final
Shots on target
2
2
final
Udary vsego
6
10
final
Fouls soversheno
7
13
final
Red cards
0
0
final
Zheltye kartochki
1
3
final
Dobrudzha
#3 Maicon, #4 C. Makoun, #8 C. Ohene, #17 Everton Bala, #18 G. Trdin, #21 Aldair, #22 M. Soula, #50 K. Dimitrov, #92 S. Vutsov, #99 R. Kirilov
Levski Sofia
#10 T. Costa Silva
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
T. Costa Silva
Levski Sofia
football.player.assists
0
T. Costa Silva
Levski Sofia
Dribling popytki
7
T. Costa Silva
Levski Sofia
Dribling uspeshno
1
T. Costa Silva
Levski Sofia
Edinoborstva vyigrano
12
T. Costa Silva
Levski Sofia
Fouls soversheno
3
T. Costa Silva
Levski Sofia
Fouls na igroke
1
T. Costa Silva
Levski Sofia
football.player.goals
0
T. Costa Silva
Levski Sofia
Conceded golov
0
T. Costa Silva
Levski Sofia
Seyvy
0
T. Costa Silva
Levski Sofia
football.player.minutes_played
83
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Dobrudzha
10.5%
13.9%
Draw
21.4%
21.8%
draw risk
Levski Sofia
68.2%
64.4%
market and model agree
xG
-
0.72 : 1.85
Total 2.5
Over 13.6%
-
Under 86.4%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.04
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.04
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
13.9% / 21.8% / 64.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,430 / 1,726
Dobrudzha / Levski Sofia
RD
82 / 83
rating uncertainty
HFA: -
HFA mu: -
MoV: -
N: N=1
P: glicko2_expected
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.35
market consensus · no value · model 64.4%
X
4.26
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
8.32
market consensus · no value · model 13.9%
Double chance
X2
1.06
market consensus · no value · model 86.2%
12
1.19
market consensus · no value · model 78.2%
1X
2.97
market consensus · no value · model 35.6%
Handicap
2 +0.5
1.38
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.59
market consensus · line only
1 +0.5
3.00
market consensus · line only
1 +1
2.23
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.91
market consensus · no value · model 13.6%
Under 2.5
1.85
market consensus · weak value +59.9% · model 86.4%
Both teams to score
No
1.60
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.21
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.30 13.7% | 8.60 11.6% | 9.00 11.1% | 8.75 11.4% | 8.00 12.5% | 8.60 11.6% | |
| X | 4.40 22.7% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.25 23.5% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.30 23.3% |
| 1.33 75.2% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.37 73.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.57 63.7% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.62 61.7% |
| yes | 2.32 43.1% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.15 46.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.04 96.2% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.07 93.5% |
| home_away | 1.18 84.8% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 2.88 34.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.88 34.7% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 1.5 | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.32 75.8% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.42 70.4% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.64 61.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.89 52.9% |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.49 40.2% |
| Over 3.25 | — | 2.77 36.1% |
| Over 3.5 | — | 3.08 32.5% |
| Over 3.75 | — | 3.78 26.5% |
| Over 4.0 | — | 5.10 19.6% |
| Over 4.25 | — | 5.50 18.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
Match center
Dobrudzha
Founded
1919
Levski Sofia
Founded
1914
Match center
Full head-to-head historyDobrudzha - Levski Sofia
Dobrudzha
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form