Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Dynamo Makhachkala take on Krylia Sovetov on August 3, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Dynamo Makhachkala 3-1-1, Krylia Sovetov 1-3-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Dynamo Makhachkala — 48%
Pure model vs market (1 · Dynamo Makhachkala): model 52% · market 48% Δ +4 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Dynamo Makhachkala 47.6%, draw 28.1%, win Krylia Sovetov 24.3%. Model favourite — Dynamo Makhachkala.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.75 57.1% | 1.87 53.5% |
| yes | 2.03 49.3% | 1.94 51.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.37 73.0% |
| 1x | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% |
| x2 | 1.77 56.5% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.72 36.8% | |
| X | 2.07 48.3% |
| 4.66 21.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.14 46.7% |
| Under 1 | 1.72 58.1% |
Dynamo Makhachkala
Krylia Sovetov
Full head-to-head historyDynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov
The Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
