Krasnodar face Akhmat on August 4, 2026 in the Russia: FONBET Cup Russia - Group Stage Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Krasnodar 4-1-0, Akhmat 2-2-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Krasnodar — 58%
Pure model vs market (1 · Krasnodar): model 46% · market 58%Δ −12 ppmodel estimates below the market
58%1
1 · Krasnodar57.8%
X · draw23.1%
2 · Akhmat19.2%
Model estimate: win Krasnodar 57.8%, draw 23.1%, win Akhmat 19.2%. Model favourite — Krasnodar.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Krasnodar (odds2.25)Score 1:0confidence 50%
•Model backs Krasnodar: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.25)
•edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
•Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Krasnodar - Akhmat August 4, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Krasnodar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.65 / X 4.00 / 2 5.30
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P11.65→ 1.65
1X2 X4.00→ 4.00
1X2 P25.30→ 5.30
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 18:45 UTC
148%✓ favourite
X29%
223%
Score1:0Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:Under 2.5
Per AI dataH2H: 1-0
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 18:50 UTC
147%✓ favourite
X26%
227%
Score1:1Total goals: Over 1.5BTTS:YesBet:Double chance 1X (Krasnodar or draw)
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
48%
29%
23%
1:0
Under 2.5
No
Under 2.5
Claude
47%
26%
27%
1:1
Over 1.5
Yes
Double chance 1X (Krasnodar or draw)
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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football, Krasnodar - Akhmat, 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Krasnodar - Akhmat, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Fonbet Cup Russia 2026/2027, Group B. 1-y Round.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market3
model / bookmakers
SportsMolepreview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscorecontext
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Krasnodar58.5%57.8%market and model agree
Draw23.1%23.1%draw risk
Akhmat18.5%19.2%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P257.8% / 23.1% / 19.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,600 / 1,552
Krasnodar / Akhmat
RD265 / 250
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,069-2,130 / 1,051-2,052
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
25.30
Fonbet · no value · model 19.2%
X4.00
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.65
Fonbet · no value · model 57.8%
Double chance
121.27
Fonbet · no value · model 76.9%
1X1.18
Fonbet · no value · model 80.8%
X22.25
Fonbet · no value · model 42.2%
Handicap
2 -11.72
Fonbet · line only
2 +11.79
market consensus · line only
2 03.65
Fonbet · line only
1 -12.12
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.75
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.52.07
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No2.00
Fonbet · line only
Yes1.75
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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