Lokomotiv Moscow face CSKA Moscow on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Lokomotiv Moscow 1-2-2, CSKA Moscow 1-2-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2CSKA Moscow — 36%
Pure model vs market (2 · CSKA Moscow): model 42% · market 36%Δ +6 ppmodel estimates above the market
36%2
1 · Lokomotiv Moscow36.5%
X · draw27.1%
2 · CSKA Moscow36.5%
Model estimate: win Lokomotiv Moscow 36.5%, draw 27.1%, win CSKA Moscow 36.5%. Model favourite — CSKA Moscow.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
•Model backs TsSKA: probability 50% vs 38% on the line (odds 2.62)
•edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
•Expected score 0:1
•Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
•at line 2.5 (odds 2.00)
•Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.90).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow August 4, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Lokomotiv Moscow. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.65 / X 3.50 / 2 2.70
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.0%
4 books
136.5%
X27.4%
236.1%
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P12.60↑ 2.65
1X2 X3.55↓ 3.50
1X2 P22.60↑ 2.70
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Cup
Best price
across 6 books
12.66Marathonbet
X3.46Marathonbet
22.67Marathonbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Lokomotiv Moscow
Rating 1699xG 1.25Win 34%
CSKA Moscow
Rating 1695xG 1.35Win 39%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Lokomotiv Moscow2:1CSKA Moscow
12.67
X3.48
22.66
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 18:29 UTC
133%
X34%✓ favourite
233%
Score1:1Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:YesBet:X
Per AI dataH2H: 1-0
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 18:34 UTC
135%✓ favourite
X30%
235%
Score1:1Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:Under 2.5 golov za ~2.00
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
33%
34%
33%
1:1
Under 2.5
Yes
X
Claude
35%
30%
35%
1:1
Under 2.5
No
Under 2.5 golov za ~2.00
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football, Lokomotiv M - TsSKA, 4 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Lokomotiv M - TsSKA, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Fonbet Cup Russia 2026/2027, Group D. 1-y Round.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H2
head-to-head matches
Market3
model / bookmakers
SportsMolepreview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscorecontext
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarktsquad
Line1 source
Stavka.tv
Player opinionsStavka.tv 104
combined layer without duplicates
Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Lokomotiv Moscow36.5%36.5%market favourite
Draw27.4%27.1%draw risk
CSKA Moscow36.1%36.5%Glicko contrarian
xG-1.25 : 1.35
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P236.5% / 27.1% / 36.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.70
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 36.5%
X3.50
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
12.65
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 36.5%
Double chance
121.33
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 72.9%
1X1.50
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 63.5%
X21.50
Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 63.5%
Handicap
2 -11.23
Fonbet · line only
2 +14.20
Fonbet · line only
2 01.90
Fonbet · line only
1 -14.15
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.78
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.52.05
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No2.25
Fonbet · line only
Yes1.63
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Highest-scoring match4 goals (3:1, 2026-05-17)most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw—draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
2Goals scored3
3Goals conceded2
Match history
2026-07-14Club Friendly Games 2026
Lokomotiv Moscow 1:0 CSKA Moscow
2026-05-17Premier League 25/26
CSKA Moscow 3:1 Lokomotiv Moscow
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1Lokomotiv Moscow
Data12 / 0 / 0
comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv MoscowTeam comparisonCSKA Moscow
0Games0
Games
0Wins0
Wins
0Draws0
Draws
0Losses0
Losses
0Scored0
Scored
0Conceded0
Conceded
0Points0
Points
0Attacks0
Attacks
0Dangerous attacks0
Dangerous attacks
0Big chances0
Big chances
0Shots on goal0
Shots on goal
0Udary v stvor0
Udary v stvor
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
Lokomotiv M CSKA 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Mikhail Mikhaylovich Galaktionov Glavnye trenery Dmitriy Igorevich Igdisamov 0' Superfinala teper ne budet, a esche est izmeneniya v stadii playoff Cup Russia vozvraschaetsya! Vse o turnire — ot novogo reglamenta do sostava grupp 0' Privetstvuem vsekh lyubiteley futbola! Rady predlozhit vashemu vnimaniyu tekstovuyu onlayn-translyatsiyu matches pervogo tura gruppovogo etapa Kubka Russia — 2026/2027: «Lokomotiv» — CSKA. Eto soperniki po gruppe D. Nachalo moskovskogo derbi zaplanirovano na 20:45 po moskovskomu vremeni. Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 28% 20% 52% Double chance 24% 40% 36% Materialy po prognozam Pora vozvraschatsya domoy! Kto vyigraet RPL-2026/2027? Kto stanet luchshim klubom Moskvy v novom sezone RPL? CSKA and «Spartak» spasayut sezon, «Zenit» and «Krasnodar» — protiv! Talalaev otomstit «Zenitu», proverka ambitsiy Karsedo. Chego zhdat ot matches Kubka Russia Posled
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