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29.07.2026 07:30 UTC
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Fonbet Russian Cup. Path of the regions. First round

Chita - FK Irkutsk

Football
C
Chita
- : -
Not started
F
FK Irkutsk
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Chita51%

1 · Chita51.2%
X · draw19.6%
2 · FK Irkutsk29.2%

Model estimate: win Chita 51.2%, draw 19.6%, win FK Irkutsk 29.2%. Model favourite — Chita.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chita (odds1.95) Score 2:1 confidence 51%
  • Model backs Chita: probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chita - FK Irkutsk July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 07:30 UTC
Match center

Chita - FK Irkutsk

Form 0/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chita - 51.2% model pick
Draw - 19.6% draw risk
FK Irkutsk - 29.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.2% / 19.6% / 29.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,517 Chita / FK Irkutsk
RD 350 / 191 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,134-1,899 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
FK Irkutsk
D D W D L
26.07 12:00 UTC+0 Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 2 Standings
FK Irkutsk 0:0 Baltika 2
05.07 03:00 UTC+0 Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 2 Standings
FK Irkutsk 1:1 Chertanovo
14.06 13:00 UTC+0 Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 2 Standings
FK Irkutsk 2:1 Cherepovets
03.06 09:00 UTC+0 Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 2 Standings
FK Irkutsk 1:1 Zvezda Sankt-Peterburg
31.05 12:00 UTC+0 Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 2 Standings
FK Irkutsk 2:3 Tver
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChita - FK Irkutsk

Chita
0 matches total
FK Irkutsk
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history