Fonbet Russian Cup. Path of the regions. First round
Temp - KDV Tomsk
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 KDV Tomsk — 69%
Pure model vs market (2 · KDV Tomsk): model 41% · market 71% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Temp 13.9%, draw 16.8%, win KDV Tomsk 69.3%. Model favourite — KDV Tomsk.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs KDV: probability 63% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.32)
- • no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Temp - KDV Tomsk July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.80 / X 5.90 / 2 1.36
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Temp - KDV Tomsk
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.34 42.7% |
| yes | 1.60 62.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.10 90.9% |
| 1x | 3.07 32.6% | 3.20 31.3% |
| x2 | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 6.60 15.2% | |
| X | 2.97 33.7% |
| 1.73 57.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.86 53.8% |
Rubin 2
Chelyabinsk 2
Full head-to-head historyTemp - KDV Tomsk
Match history
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The Temp - KDV Tomsk breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form