AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Nancy. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
28.08.2026 18:00 UTC
France. Ligue 2
Nancy take on Dunkerque on August 28, 2026 in the France. Ligue 2.
Recent form (W-D-L): Nancy 1-0-1, Dunkerque 0-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Nancy — 61%
Model estimate: win Nancy 60.7%, draw 18.6%, win Dunkerque 20.7%. Model favourite — Nancy.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.
Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets| Outcome | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.02 49.5% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.13 47.0% |
| yes | 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% | 1.66 60.2% |
| Outcome | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% |
| 1x | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| x2 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.03 33.0% | |
| X | 2.24 44.6% |
| 3.29 30.4% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.71 58.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.03 49.3% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.6 | 3.3 | 2.65 |
| Winline | 2.55 | 3.3 | 2.65 |
| Fonbet | 2.6 | 3.3 | 2.65 |
| Betcity | 2.55 | 3.4 | 2.65 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.48 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
Nancy
Po
Monpele
Dunkerque
Monpele
Reyms
Full head-to-head history: Nancy - Dunkerque
The Nancy - Dunkerque breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 28, 2026.
