France: Ligue 3 Standings
Bastia - Le Puy Foot
Bastia go head-to-head with Le Puy Foot on August 7, 2026 in the France: Ligue 3 Standings.
Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Bastia — 52%
Model estimate: win Bastia 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Le Puy Foot 28.5%. Model favourite — Bastia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Bastiya: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.36)
- • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bastia - Le Puy Foot August 7, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 3.04 / 2 3.52
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
National 1Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
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Bastia - Le Puy Foot
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.87 53.5% |
| yes | 1.84 54.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.26 79.4% |
| x2 | 1.65 60.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.72 36.8% | |
| X | 1.95 51.3% |
| 4.34 23.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 1 | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.74 36.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.71 58.5% |
Full head-to-head historyBastia - Le Puy Foot
Match history
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The Bastia - Le Puy Foot breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form