France: Ligue 3 Standings
Bourg-en-bresse 01 meet Villefranche on August 7, 2026 in the France: Ligue 3 Standings.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Bourg-en-bresse 01 — 52%
Model estimate: win Bourg-en-bresse 01 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Villefranche 28.5%. Model favourite — Bourg-en-bresse 01.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.76 56.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.80 55.6% |
| yes | 1.84 54.4% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.91 52.4% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.29 77.5% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% |
| x2 | 1.66 60.2% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.58 63.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.72 36.8% | |
| X | 1.93 51.8% |
| 4.43 22.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.12 47.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 3.32 30.1% |
| Under 1 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.33 75.2% |
Full head-to-head historyBourg-en-bresse 01 - Villefranche
The Bourg-en-bresse 01 - Villefranche breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
