France: Ligue 3 Standings
Caen face Valenciennes on August 7, 2026 in the France: Ligue 3 Standings.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Caen — 52%
Model estimate: win Caen 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Valenciennes 28.5%. Model favourite — Caen.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.03 49.3% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% |
| x2 | 1.64 61.0% | 1.69 59.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.72 36.8% | |
| X | 2.03 49.3% |
| 3.98 25.1% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.79 35.8% |
| Under 1 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
Full head-to-head historyCaen - Valenciennes
The Caen - Valenciennes breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
