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Georgia - First League
Georgia - First League Georgia
06.05.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
06.05.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Georgia - First League

Georgia

FK Samtredia - Aragvi Dusheti

Georgia Football
FK Samtredia
FK Samtredia
2 : 0
Finished
Aragvi Dusheti
Aragvi Dusheti

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FK Samtredia - Aragvi Dusheti May 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: FK Samtredia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / X 4.30 / 2 7.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.8%
1 66.8%
X 21.0%
2 12.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

FK Samtredia - Aragvi Dusheti

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.40 Fonbet · line only
X 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson CashPoint
1.10 90.9% 1.02 98.4% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.05 95.2%
X 5.50 18.2% 17.40 5.8% 19.00 5.3% 67.00 1.5% 3.35 29.9% 8.42 11.9%
34.00 2.9% 27.00 3.7% 29.00 3.5% 501.00 0.2% 3.50 28.6% 50.00 2.0%