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Germany: North regionalnaya liga Standings
Germany: North regionalnaya liga Standings
31.07.2026 15:30 UTC
31.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Not started

Germany: North regionalnaya liga Standings

Drokhtersen/Assel - Phonix Lubeck

Football
D
Drokhtersen/Assel
- : -
Not started
P
Phonix Lubeck
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Drokhtersen/Assel — 52%

1 · Drokhtersen/Assel52.1%
X · draw19.4%
2 · Phonix Lubeck28.5%

Model estimate: win Drokhtersen/Assel 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Phonix Lubeck 28.5%. Model favourite — Drokhtersen/Assel.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Drokhtersen/Assel (odds2.05) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Drokhtersen/Assel: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.05)
  • • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Drokhtersen/Assel - Phonix Lubeck July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Drokhtersen/Assel. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.05 / X 3.48 / 2 3.28

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 45.2%
X 26.6%
2 28.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Regionalliga - Nord
Best price across 8 books
1 2.14 Dafabet
X 3.43 Pinnacle
2 3.30 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Drokhtersen/Assel
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.90 Conceded 1.60 xG 2.03 xGA 1.38
Phonix Lubeck
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.91 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.59 xGA 1.61

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Drokhtersen/Assel
Rating 1659
Phonix Lubeck
Rating 1584

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Match center

Drokhtersen/Assel - Phonix Lubeck

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Drokhtersen/Assel 45.2% 52.1% market and model agree
Draw 26.6% 19.4% draw risk
Phonix Lubeck 28.2% 28.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.1% / 19.4% / 28.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Drokhtersen/Assel / Phonix Lubeck
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.28 market consensus · no value · model 28.5%
X 3.48 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.05 market consensus · value +6.9% · model 52.1%
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 2.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
2.05 48.8%
X 3.48 28.7%
3.28 30.5%