Germany: North regionalnaya liga Standings
Verder II - Oldenburg
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Oldenburg — 44%
Pure model vs market (2 · Oldenburg): model 33% · market 45% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Verder II 31.2%, draw 24.4%, win Oldenburg 44.4%. Model favourite — Oldenburg.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 27% on the line (odds 3.70)
- • edge over the line +23 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Verder II - Oldenburg July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.00 / X 3.70 / 2 2.02
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Verder II - Oldenburg
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.23 81.3% |
| 1x | 1.60 62.5% | 1.71 58.5% |
| x2 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.34 74.6% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 2.27 44.1% | 2.30 43.5% | |
| 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.86 53.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.84 54.4% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 2.97 33.7% | 3.00 33.3% | |
| X | 3.70 27.0% | 3.70 27.0% |
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% |
Full head-to-head historyVerder II - Oldenburg
Match history
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The Verder II - Oldenburg breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form