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Germany: Severo-East regionalnaya liga Standings
Germany: Severo-East regionalnaya liga Standings
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 17:00 UTC
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Germany: Severo-East regionalnaya liga Standings

BFC Preussen - Lokomotive Leipzig

Football
B
BFC Preussen
- : -
Not started
Lokomotive Leipzig
Lokomotive Leipzig

BFC Preussen face Lokomotive Leipzig on August 5, 2026 in the Germany: Severo-East regionalnaya liga Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): BFC Preussen 0-1-1, Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Lokomotive Leipzig59%

1 · BFC Preussen23.5%
market42%
X · draw17.6%
market25%
2 · Lokomotive Leipzig ✓ Pick58.9%
market33%

Model estimate: win BFC Preussen 23.5%, draw 17.6%, win Lokomotive Leipzig 58.9%. Model favourite — Lokomotive Leipzig.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Lokomotive Leipzig (odds2.76) Score 1:2 confidence 55%
  • Model backs Lokomotiv Leyptsig: probability 55% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.76)
  • edge over the line +19 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction BFC Preussen - Lokomotive Leipzig August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: BFC Preussen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.68 / 2 2.76

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 41.8%
X 25.0%
2 ✓ Pick 33.3%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Regionalliga - Nordost
League table
BFC Preussen
#141 ptsGP 20-1-11:4
Lokomotive Leipzig
#64 ptsGP 21-1-06:4
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
BFC Preussen
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.35 Conceded 1.91 xG 1.46 xGA 1.62
Lokomotive Leipzig
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.69 Conceded 1.44 xG 2.10 xGA 0.99

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
BFC Preussen
Rating 1528
Lokomotive Leipzig
Rating 1725

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

BFC Preussen 4 : 1 Lokomotive Leipzig

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 41.8% @ 2.20 / X 25.0% @ 3.68 / 2 33.3% @ 2.76
Match center

BFC Preussen - Lokomotive Leipzig

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
BFC Preussen 41.8% 23.5% market favourite
Draw 25.0% 17.6% draw risk
Lokomotive Leipzig 33.3% 58.9% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 23.5% / 17.6% / 58.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,413 / 1,781 BFC Preussen / Lokomotiv Leyptsig
RD 263 / 249 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 888-1,938 / 1,284-2,278 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.76 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 58.9%
X 3.68 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.20 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 23.5%
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.16 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.16 46.3%
yes 1.57 63.7%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
4.13 24.2%
1.17 85.5%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 2.5 1.67 59.9%
Under 2.5 1.99 50.3%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.31 43.3%
Under 1.5 1.50 66.7%
Match center
BFC Preussen
L D
31.07 15:00 UTC Germany: Severo-East regionalnaya liga Standings
BFC Preussen 0:3 Khemnittser
25.07 10:00 UTC Germany: Severo-East regionalnaya liga Standings
BFC Preussen 1:1 RSV Ayntrakht
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Lokomotive Leipzig
W W
01.08 12:00 UTC Germany: Severo-East regionalnaya liga Standings
Lokomotive Leipzig 4:3 Magdeburg II
24.07 15:00 UTC Germany: Severo-East regionalnaya liga Standings
Lokomotive Leipzig 3:1 LukkenvaldeLukkenvalde
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points