AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Stuttgart II. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
28.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Germany: Third League
Fortuna Düsseldorf meet Stuttgart II on August 28, 2026 in the Germany: Third League.
Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Stuttgart II — 57%
Model estimate: win Fortuna Düsseldorf 25.1%, draw 18.3%, win Stuttgart II 56.7%. Model favourite — Stuttgart II.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.46 40.7% |
| yes | 1.51 66.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.12 47.2% | |
| X | 2.58 38.8% |
| 4.55 22.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.12 47.2% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.56 28.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.64 61.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.03 49.3% | |
| 1.70 58.8% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.5 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Winline | 1.54 | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Fonbet | 1.5 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Betcity | 1.5 | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.55 | 4.4 | 4.6 |
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Mangeym
Full head-to-head history: Fortuna Düsseldorf - Stuttgart II
The Fortuna Düsseldorf - Stuttgart II breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 28, 2026.
