Honduras: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Genesis — 52%
Model estimate: win Genesis 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Choloma 28.5%. Model favourite — Genesis.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 1.21 82.6% | 1.24 80.7% |
| x2 | 1.78 56.2% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 71.9% | 1.40 71.4% | |
| 2.73 36.6% | 2.75 36.4% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.61 62.1% | 1.62 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.15 46.5% | 2.16 46.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| X | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% |
Full head-to-head historyGenesis - Choloma
The Genesis - Choloma breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
