Honduras: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings
Olimpia Tegucigalpa take on UPNFM on August 2, 2026 in the Honduras: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings.
Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Olimpia Tegucigalpa — 58%
Model estimate: win Olimpia Tegucigalpa 57.9%, draw 18.9%, win UPNFM 23.2%. Model favourite — Olimpia Tegucigalpa.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.79 55.9% |
| yes | 1.92 52.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 3.10 32.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| X | 2.46 40.7% |
| 8.70 11.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.56 64.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.28 43.9% |
| Under 1 | 2.28 43.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.56 64.1% |
Full head-to-head historyOlimpia Tegucigalpa - UPNFM
The Olimpia Tegucigalpa - UPNFM breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
