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Honduras: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings
Honduras: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings
03.08.2026 01:30 UTC
03.08.2026 01:30 UTC
Not started

Honduras: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings

CD Olimpia - Lobos Upnfm

Football
C
CD Olimpia
- : -
Not started
L
Lobos Upnfm

CD Olimpia go head-to-head with Lobos Upnfm on August 3, 2026 in the Honduras: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings.

Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 CD Olimpia — 71%

Pure model vs market (1 · CD Olimpia): model 51% · market 73% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · CD Olimpia ✓ Pick71.1%
market73%
X · draw18.1%
market18%
2 · Lobos Upnfm10.7%
market10%

Model estimate: win CD Olimpia 71.1%, draw 18.1%, win Lobos Upnfm 10.7%. Model favourite — CD Olimpia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1CD Olimpia (odds2.11) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Olimpiya: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.11)
  • • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction CD Olimpia - Lobos Upnfm August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: CD Olimpia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.26 / X 5.20 / 2 9.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2%
1 ✓ Pick 72.7%
X 17.6%
2 9.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Nacional
Best price across 9 books
1 1.28 10Bet
X 5.50 BetVictor
2 10.70 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
CD Olimpia
W-D-L 7-0-3 Scored 2.00 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.71 xGA 1.01
Lobos Upnfm
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.60 xG 1.19 xGA 1.64

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
CD Olimpia
Rating 1652 xG 2.05 Win 68%
Lobos Upnfm
Rating 1472 xG 0.72 Win 12%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

CD Olimpia 3 : 1 Lobos Upnfm
11.24
X5.05
211.00

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 01:30 UTC
Market 1 72.7% @ 1.26 / X 17.6% @ 5.20 / 2 9.7% @ 9.40
Match center

CD Olimpia - Lobos Upnfm

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
CD Olimpia 72.4% 71.1% market and model agree
Draw 17.9% 18.1% draw risk
Lobos Upnfm 9.7% 10.7%
xG - 2.05 : 0.72

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 71.1% / 18.1% / 10.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,631 / 1,500 Olimpia Tegucigalpa / UPNFM
RD 283 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,064-2,198 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.40 market consensus · no value · model 10.7%
X 5.10 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 71.1%
Double chance
12 1.10 market consensus · no value · model 81.9%
1X 1.01 market consensus · no value · model 89.3%
X2 3.27 market consensus · no value · model 28.9%
Handicap
2 0 6.30 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.08 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.74 57.5%
yes 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet
12 1.10 90.9%
1x 1.01 99.0%
x2 3.27 30.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.70 58.8%
X 2.44 41.0%
8.90 11.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.59 62.9%
Over 1.5 2.28 43.9%
Under 1 2.22 45.1%
Under 1.5 1.56 64.1%
Match center
CD Olimpia
W
23.07 23:00 UTC+0 Honduras: Super Cup
CD Olimpia 1:0 Motagua
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCD Olimpia - Lobos Upnfm

CD Olimpia
0 matches total
Lobos Upnfm
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history