Guatemala. Liga Nacional
Mixco - Suchitepéquez
Mixco face Suchitepéquez on August 1, 2026 in the Guatemala. Liga Nacional.
Recent form (W-D-L): Mixco 0-0-1, Suchitepéquez 0-1-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Mixco — 52%
Pure model vs market (1 · Mixco): model 32% · market 61% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Mixco 52.2%, draw 25.9%, win Suchitepéquez 21.9%. Model favourite — Mixco.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Suchitepekez: probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mixco - Suchitepéquez August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / X 3.90 / 2 6.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga NacionalHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
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Mixco - Suchitepéquez
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.68 59.5% |
| yes | 2.07 48.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.21 82.6% |
| 1x | 1.05 95.2% | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 2.20 45.5% | 2.50 40.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.05 48.8% | |
| X | 2.13 47.0% |
| 6.50 15.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.89 52.9% |
| Under 1 | 1.81 55.3% |
Komunikasones
Full head-to-head historyMixco - Suchitepéquez
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Mixco - Suchitepéquez breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form