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Guatemala. Primera Division
Guatemala. Primera Division
03.08.2026 01:15 UTC
Not started

Guatemala. Primera Division

América de Cali W - Llaneros W

Football
A
América de Cali W
- : -
Not started
L
Llaneros W

América de Cali W go head-to-head with Llaneros W on August 3, 2026 in the Guatemala. Primera Division.

Recent form (W-D-L): América de Cali W 0-0-1, Llaneros W 0-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 América de Cali W79%

Pure model vs market (1 · América de Cali W): model 57% · market 81% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market

1 · América de Cali W ✓ Pick79.2%
market81%
X · draw12.4%
market12%
2 · Llaneros W8.4%
market8%

Model estimate: win América de Cali W 79.2%, draw 12.4%, win Llaneros W 8.4%. Model favourite — América de Cali W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1América de Cali W (odds1.93) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Amerika De Kali (Zh): probability 50% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.93)
  • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction América de Cali W - Llaneros W August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: América de Cali W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.13 / X 7.80 / 2 12.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 ✓ Pick 80.7%
X 11.7%
2 7.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Femenina
League table
América de Cali W
#429 ptsGP 149-2-322:7
Llaneros W
#1113 ptsGP 143-4-79:24
Best price across 7 books
1 1.12 Dafabet
X 8.50 Bet365
2 29.00 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
América de Cali W
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.30 Conceded 0.60 xG 1.44 xGA 0.88
Llaneros W
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 0.60 Conceded 2.01 xG 0.96 xGA 1.55

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
América de Cali W
Rating 1698 xG 2.31 Win 75%
Llaneros W
Rating 1432 xG 0.65 Win 9%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

América de Cali W 3 : 0 Llaneros W
11.08
X7.60
217.50

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 01:15 UTC
Market 1 80.7% @ 1.13 / X 11.7% @ 7.80 / 2 7.6% @ 12.00
Match center

América de Cali W - Llaneros W

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
América de Cali W 80.6% 79.2% market and model agree
Draw 11.8% 12.4% draw risk
Llaneros W 7.5% 8.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 79.2% / 12.4% / 8.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,239 Amerika De Kali (Zh) / Lyaneros (Zh)
RD 350 / 283 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 672-1,805 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.70 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.11 market consensus · no value · model 79.2%
Double chance
12 1.04 market consensus · no value · model 87.6%
X2 4.85 market consensus · no value · model 20.8%
Handicap
2 0 10.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.32 market consensus · line only
Yes 3.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.32 75.8%
yes 3.09 32.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.02 98.0% 1.05 95.2%
x2 4.60 21.7% 5.10 19.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.46 68.5%
X 2.82 35.5%
13.90 7.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Over 1.5 2.27 44.1%
Under 1 2.28 43.9%
Under 1.5 1.56 64.1%
Match center
América de Cali W
L
23.07 22:00 UTC Colombia: Liga - Women Standings
América de Cali W 0:3 Deportivo Kali (Zh)
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Llaneros W
L
25.07 18:00 UTC Colombia: Liga - Women Standings
Llaneros W 0:3 Bukaramanga (Zh)
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points