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Guatemala. Primera Division
Guatemala. Primera Division
01.08.2026 20:30 UTC
01.08.2026 20:30 UTC
Not started

Guatemala. Primera Division

Real Santander W - Orsomarso W

Football
R
Real Santander W
- : -
Not started
O
Orsomarso W

Real Santander W go head-to-head with Orsomarso W on August 1, 2026 in the Guatemala. Primera Division.

Recent form (W-D-L): Real Santander W 1-0-0, Orsomarso W 0-1-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Orsomarso W — 42%

Pure model vs market (2 · Orsomarso W): model 34% · market 45% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Real Santander W28.5%
X · draw29.9%
2 · Orsomarso W41.6%

Model estimate: win Real Santander W 28.5%, draw 29.9%, win Orsomarso W 41.6%. Model favourite — Orsomarso W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Real Santander W (odds1.95) Score 2:1 confidence 51%
  • • Model backs Real Santander (Zh): probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Santander W - Orsomarso W August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Orsomarso W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.80 / X 3.02 / 2 2.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 24.4%
X 30.7%
2 45.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Femenina
League table
Real Santander W
#1410 ptsGP 141-7-64:19
Orsomarso W
#916 ptsGP 143-7-414:14
Best price across 8 books
1 3.50 Dafabet
X 3.10 10Bet
2 2.15 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Real Santander W
W-D-L 1-5-4 Scored 0.20 Conceded 1.29 xG 0.55 xGA 2.44
Orsomarso W
W-D-L 2-6-2 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.25 xGA 1.09

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Real Santander W
Rating 1422 xG 0.88 Win 25%
Orsomarso W
Rating 1569 xG 1.34 Win 48%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Real Santander W 1 : 1 Orsomarso W
13.95
X3.00
21.94

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 20:30 UTC
Market 1 24.4% @ 3.80 / X 30.7% @ 3.02 / 2 45.0% @ 2.06
Match center

Real Santander W - Orsomarso W

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Real Santander W 27.6% 28.5%
Draw 30.3% 29.9% draw risk
Orsomarso W 42.1% 41.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 28.5% / 29.9% / 41.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,519 CD Real Santander (w) / Orsomarso (Zh)
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 937-2,102 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.02 market consensus · no value · model 41.6%
X 2.90 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.79 market consensus · no value · model 28.5%
Double chance
12 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 70.1%
1X 1.63 market consensus · no value · model 58.4%
X2 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 71.5%
Handicap
2 -1 2.80 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.42 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.37 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.67 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.59 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.22 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.59 62.9%
yes 2.22 45.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0%
1x 1.58 63.3% 1.68 59.5%
x2 1.16 86.2% 1.22 82.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.95 20.2%
X 1.88 53.2%
2.66 37.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.54 64.9%
Over 1 2.18 45.9%
Under 0.5 2.32 43.1%
Under 1 1.61 62.1%
Match center
Real Santander W
W
26.07 17:00 UTC Colombia: Liga - Women Standings
Real Santander W 6:2 Ind. Santa Fe (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
6.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Orsomarso W
D
25.07 19:00 UTC Colombia: Liga - Women Standings
Orsomarso W 1:1 Kortulua (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points