Guatemala. Primera Division
Deportivo Pasto W - La Equidad W
Deportivo Pasto W meet La Equidad W on August 1, 2026 in the Guatemala. Primera Division.
Recent form (W-D-L): Deportivo Pasto W 1-0-0, La Equidad W 1-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Deportivo Pasto W — 49%
Model estimate: win Deportivo Pasto W 49.4%, draw 19.5%, win La Equidad W 31.2%. Model favourite — Deportivo Pasto W.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Deportivo Pasto (Zh): probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.49)
- • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Deportivo Pasto W - La Equidad W August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.40 / X 3.20 / 2 2.08
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga FemeninaAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Deportivo Pasto W - La Equidad W
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.74 57.5% |
| yes | 1.98 50.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.60 62.5% | 1.70 58.8% |
| x2 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.27 78.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.22 23.7% | |
| X | 1.96 51.0% |
| 2.76 36.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.63 61.4% |
Full head-to-head historyDeportivo Pasto W - La Equidad W
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Deportivo Pasto W - La Equidad W breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form