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GVATEMALA: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings
GVATEMALA: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings
09.08.2026 23:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
09.08.2026 23:00 UTC
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GVATEMALA: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings

Municipal - Cobán Imperial

Football
M
Municipal
- : -
Not started
C
Cobán Imperial

Municipal face Cobán Imperial on August 9, 2026 in the GVATEMALA: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Municipal 2-0-0, Cobán Imperial 1-0-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Municipal — 67%

Pure model vs market (1 · Municipal): model 45% · market 70% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Municipal ✓ Pick67.2%
market70%
X · draw21.0%
market20%
2 · Cobán Imperial11.8%
market10%

Model estimate: win Municipal 67.2%, draw 21.0%, win Cobán Imperial 11.8%. Model favourite — Municipal.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Municipal - Cobán Imperial August 9, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Municipal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 4.70 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9% 3 books · best price +2.3%
1 ✓ Pick 70.1%
X 19.9%
2 10.0%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga Nacional
League table
Municipal
#26 ptsGP 22-0-04:1
Cobán Imperial
#81 ptsGP 10-1-01:1
Best price across 10 books
1 1.35 William Hill
X 4.60 Betfair
2 9.50 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Municipal
W-D-L 10-0-0 Scored 2.57 Conceded 0.41 xG 1.50 xGA 0.90
Cobán Imperial
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 0.81 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.20 xGA 1.31

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Municipal
Rating 1739 xG 1.68 Win 59%
Cobán Imperial
Rating 1546 xG 0.76 Win 17%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Municipal
71%
1.31
Draw
20%
4.70
Cobán Imperial
9%
11.00
Total
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Under 2.5
50%
1.84

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 09.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 71.5% @ 1.31 / X 19.9% @ 4.70 / 2 8.5% @ 11.00
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Municipal 67%
💹 Market Municipal 70%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Municipal - Cobán Imperial

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Municipal 68.6% 67.2% market and model agree
Draw 20.9% 21.0% draw risk
Cobán Imperial 10.5% 11.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 67.2% / 21.0% / 11.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,646 / 1,626 Municipal Guatemala / Coban Imperial
RD 256 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,133-2,159 / 1,043-2,210 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 market consensus · no value · model 11.8%
X 4.55 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 67.2%
Double chance
12 1.13 market consensus · no value · model 79.0%
1X 1.03 market consensus · no value · model 88.2%
X2 3.20 market consensus · no value · model 32.8%
Total
Over 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.47 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.47 68.0%
yes 2.50 40.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.10 90.9% 1.15 87.0%
1x — 1.03 97.1%
x2 2.90 34.5% 3.50 28.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.81 55.3%
X 2.25 44.4%
8.80 11.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.86 53.8%
Under 1 1.84 54.4%
Match center
Municipal
W W
02.08 21:00 UTC GVATEMALA: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings
Municipal 2:1 Markense
25.07 00:00 UTC GVATEMALA: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings
Municipal 2:0 Deportivo Misko
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points
Cobán Imperial
W
25.07 23:00 UTC GVATEMALA: Natsionalnaya liga - Apertura Standings
Cobán Imperial 2:1 Deportivo Malakateko
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points