Guatemala. Liga Nacional
Xelaju take on Aurora Cochabamba on August 3, 2026 in the Guatemala. Liga Nacional.
Recent form (W-D-L): Xelaju 0-0-1, Aurora Cochabamba 0-0-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Xelaju — 62%
Pure model vs market (1 · Xelaju): model 44% · market 72% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Xelaju 61.7%, draw 23.0%, win Aurora Cochabamba 15.4%. Model favourite — Xelaju.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.59 62.9% |
| yes | 2.21 45.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.10 90.9% | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 3.00 33.3% | 3.30 30.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.79 55.9% | |
| X | 2.35 42.6% |
| 8.00 12.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Under 1 | 1.96 51.0% |
Xelaju
Aurora Cochabamba
Full head-to-head historyXelaju - Aurora Cochabamba
The Xelaju - Aurora Cochabamba breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
