Costa Rica. Premier Division
Xelajú meet Aurora on August 4, 2026 in the Costa Rica. Premier Division.
Recent form (W-D-L): Xelajú 0-0-1, Aurora 0-0-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Xelajú — 69%
Pure model vs market (1 · Xelajú): model 44% · market 72% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Xelajú 69.3%, draw 19.8%, win Aurora 11.0%. Model favourite — Xelajú.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.56 64.1% |
| yes | 2.27 44.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 3.10 32.3% | 3.40 29.4% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| X | 2.39 41.8% |
| 8.40 11.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Under 1 | 1.99 50.3% |
Xelajú
Aurora
Full head-to-head historyXelajú - Aurora
The Xelajú - Aurora breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
