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HNL
HNL Croatia
04.04.2026 15:45 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 15:45 UTC
Finished

HNL

Croatia

NK Slaven Belupo - HNK Rijeka

Croatia Football
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Slaven Belupo
0 : 2
Finished
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction NK Slaven Belupo - HNK Rijeka April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like HNK Rijeka.

Line favourite market consensus: HNK Rijeka. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.00 / X 3.03 / 2 2.36
  • 1X2 market: NK Slaven Belupo 30.7% / X 30.3% / HNK Rijeka 39.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7%
1 30.7%
X 30.4%
2 39.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.3%
Over 2.5 43.5%
Under 2.5 56.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 15:45 UTC
Match center

NK Slaven Belupo - HNK Rijeka

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.36 market consensus · line only
X 3.03 market consensus · line only
1 3.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.34 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.53 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
3.06 32.7% 3.15 31.8% 2.80 35.7% 3.04 32.9% 3.07 32.6% 3.00 33.3%
X 3.04 32.9% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.04 32.9% 3.06 32.7% 3.10 32.3%
2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.20 45.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet Betano Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Betano Betfair Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
draw_away 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.27 78.7% 1.36 73.5%
home_away 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.26 79.4% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 1.19 84.0%
Over 1.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 1.75 1.43 69.9%
Over 2.0 1.59 62.9%
Over 2.25 1.86 53.8%
Over 2.5 2.17 46.1%
Over 2.75 2.50 40.0%
Over 3.0 3.15 31.8%
Over 3.25 3.46 28.9%
Over 3.5 3.85 26.0%
Over 3.75 4.90 20.4%
Over 4.0 7.20 13.9%
Over 4.25 7.60 13.2%
Over 4.5 8.10 12.4%
Over 5.5 19.00 5.3%