AI verdict

AI pick Budafoki win probability ~59% confidence Medium best odds 1.10

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Budafoki. Full breakdown below.

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Hungary. League 3
Hungary. League 3
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
12.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

Hungary. League 3

Budafoki - PTE PEAC

Football
Stadium Promontor utcai stadion
Capacity 4 000
Budafoki
Budafoki
2 : 0
Finished
P
PTE PEAC

Budafoki take on PTE PEAC on August 12, 2026 in the Hungary. League 3.

Recent form (W-D-L): Budafoki 2-1-2, PTE PEAC 2-2-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 59% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Budafoki59%

1 · Budafoki59.4%
market 62%
X · draw20.8%
market 20%
2 · PTE PEAC19.7%
market 18%

Model estimate: win Budafoki 59.4%, draw 20.8%, win PTE PEAC 19.7%. Model favourite — Budafoki.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2PTE PEAC (odds2.13) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs PTE-PEAK: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.13)
  • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Budafoki - PTE PEAC August 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Budafoki.

Line favourite Fonbet: Budafoki. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / X 7.50 / 2 5.20
  • Glicko: Budafoki 59.4% / X 20.8% / PTE PEAC 19.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9% 6 books · best price +1.4%
1 61.6%
X 20.4%
2 18.1%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

NB III - Southwest
League table
Budafoki
#56 ptsGP 32-0-15:4
PTE PEAC
#66 ptsGP 32-0-14:4
%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Budafoki
61%
1.48
Draw
21%
7.50
PTE PEAC
18%
21.00
Handicap
Budafoki (0)
76%
1.21
PTE PEAC (0)
24%
12.00
Total
Over 3.5
41%
10.50
Under 3.5
59%
1.63

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Budafoki 1 : 1 PTE PEAC
11.45
X4.25
25.60

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

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Participant opinions
6 predictions Choose an outcome
1 66% 4
X 16% 1
2 16% 1
Match center
Stadium Promontor utcai stadion
Start 12.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Market 1 73.6% @ 1.10 / X 10.8% @ 7.50 / 2 15.6% @ 5.20
Capacity 4,000
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Budafoki 66%
📐 Math model Budafoki 59%
💹 Market Budafoki 62%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Budafoki - PTE PEAC

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Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 59.4% fact: home hit / ROI 48.0% / Brier 0.247 / LogLoss 0.520
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 59.4% fact: home hit / ROI 48.0% / Brier 0.247 / LogLoss 0.520
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Budafoki 61.2% 59.4% market and model agree
Draw 20.8% 20.8% draw risk
PTE PEAC 18.0% 19.7%
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 59.4% / 20.8% / 19.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,342 / 1,600 Budafoki / PTE PEAC
RD 292 / 292 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 759-1,926 / 1,016-2,183 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.00 market consensus · no value · model 19.7%
X 7.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 59.4%
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 79.2%
1X 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 80.3%
X2 5.50 Fonbet · no value · model 40.6%
Handicap
2 +1 1.95 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.90 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.13 88.5% 2.17 46.1%
yes 4.80 20.8% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.13 88.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%
1x 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9%
x2 2.35 42.6% 2.50 40.0% 5.50 18.2% 2.28 43.9% 2.28 43.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.95 51.3%
X 2.42 41.3%
5.40 18.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.22 45.1%
Under 1.5 1.59 62.9%
Match center
Budafoki Team form PTE PEAC
10 Matches 10
13 Goals 16
1.3 Per match 1.6
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 4
5 Losses 2

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0, avg 2.0 gls
2026-08-12 · Budafoki 2:0 PTE-PEAK
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.47 (Betcity) · X 4.9 (Winline) · 2 5.6 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.42 4.6 5.3
Winline 1.44 4.9 5.6
Fonbet 1.42 4.6 5.3
Betcity 1.47 4.6 5
Liga Stavok 1.46 4.5 5.2
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Budafoki
W L W D L
2026-08-08 NB III 26/27, South West
Budafoki Sarbogard SE 0:1 Budafoki
2026-07-26 NB III 26/27, South West
Budafoki MTK Budapest 2 4:2 Budafoki
2026-05-17 NB II 25/26
Budafoki Fehervar 1:3 Budafoki
2026-05-10 NB II 25/26
Budafoki Budafoki 1:1 BVSC Zuglo
2026-05-04 NB II 25/26
Budafoki Vasas 3:2 Budafoki
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
PTE PEAC
W W D D L
2026-08-09 NB III 26/27, South West
PTE PEAC 2:1 Siofok PTE PEAC
2026-07-26 NB III 26/27, South West
PTE PEAC 2:1 Sarbogard SE PTE PEAC
2026-05-24 NB III 25/26, South West
Siofok 1:1 PTE PEAC PTE PEAC
2026-05-17 NB III 25/26, South West
PTE PEAC 1:1 Balatonlelle PTE PEAC
2026-05-10 NB III 25/26, South West
Nagykanizsa 1:0 PTE PEAC PTE PEAC
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBudafoki - PTE PEAC

Budafoki
0 matches total
PTE PEAC
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Budafoki vs PTE PEAC?

By the PropickAI model, Budafoki is favoured — about 59% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Budafoki vs PTE PEAC?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Budafoki. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Budafoki vs PTE PEAC start?

August 12, 2026.