LOW
Total goals: Under 3.5
odds 1.85
hist. ROI +2.0%
Under 3.5 (zaschitnyy match)
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10.06.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished
Iceland: Cup Islandii
Afturelding - Stjarnan
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Afturelding - Stjarnan June 10, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Afturelding. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 3.70 / 2 12.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 34.0%
1
73.9%
X
20.2%
2
6.0%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
VALUE
Fonbet · historical ROI
Extra value signals (not 1x2)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
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Match center
Start
10.06.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center
Afturelding - Stjarnan
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.86
market consensus · line only
X
3.70
Fonbet · line only
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.25
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.04
Fonbet · line only
X2
9.00
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1
1.70
Fonbet · line only
2 0
8.50
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
2.02
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.60
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.43
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.65 60.6% |
| yes | 2.10 47.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 9.00 11.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| 1.38 72.5% | |
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.12 89.3% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| 2.80 35.7% | |
| 6.50 15.4% | |
| 7.80 12.8% | |
| 6.30 15.9% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 11.50 8.7% | |
| 5.10 19.6% | |
| 1.58 63.3% | |
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 8.50 11.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Bet365 | Betcity | Bettery | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | — | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 1 | — | — | — | — | 4.60 21.7% |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 1.33 75.2% |
| Over 2 | — | — | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 2.5 | — | 1.33 75.0% | — | — | 2.60 38.5% |
| Over 3 | — | — | — | — | 7.20 13.9% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 4 | — | — | — | — | 2.60 38.5% |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 6.00 16.7% |
| Over 5 | — | — | — | — | 5.40 18.5% |
| Under 2.5 | — | 3.25 30.8% | — | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — | 1.83 54.6% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAfturelding - Stjarnan
Afturelding
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Match history & form