Iceland. Division 1
Iceland. Division 1
26.06.2026 17:15 UTC
Finished

Iceland. Division 1

Afturelding - Njardvik

Futbol
Afturelding
Afturelding
2 : 0
Finished
Njardvik
Njardvik

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Afturelding - Njardvik June 26, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Afturelding. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.10 / X 3.70 / 2 3.00
  • Total 2.5: over probability 0.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 44.1%
X 25.0%
2 30.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Glavnyy konsensus AI: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 5/5
Confidence 49.5%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:0

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 26.06.2026 17:15 UTC
Match center

Afturelding - Njardvik

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Afturelding 41.3% - market favourite
Draw 25.9% - draw risk
Njardvik 32.8% -
Total 2.5 Over 0.0% - Under 0.0%
Model check - - Difference 0.00
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.00 Fonbet · line only
X 3.70 Fonbet · line only
1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.37 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.33 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.90 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.37 73.0%
x2 1.67 59.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.12 89.3%
1.09 91.7%
1.01 99.0%
2.95 33.9%
3.65 27.4%
7.40 13.5%
1.58 63.3%
4.90 20.4%
5.70 17.5%
12.00 8.3%
1.33 75.2%
1.22 82.0%
1.05 95.2%
2.25 44.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.16 86.2%
Over 1 1.28 78.1%
Over 1.5 1.14 87.7%
Over 2 2.50 40.0%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 3 1.80 55.6%
Over 3.5 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4%
Over 4 3.10 32.3%
Over 4.5 3.65 27.4%
Over 5.5 6.30 15.9%
Under 0.5 4.30 23.3%
Under 1 3.25 30.8%
Under 3.5 1.64 61.0% 1.64 61.0% 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Afturelding
L W
05.06 17:15 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Afturelding 1:2 KopavogyurKopavogyur
31.05 17:15 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Afturelding 5:1 FilkirFilkir
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Njardvik
L W L
13.06 12:00 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Njardvik 1:2 VolsungurVolsungur
05.06 17:15 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Njardvik 5:1 IR ReykyavikIR Reykyavik
31.05 12:00 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Njardvik 1:2 GrottaGrotta
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAfturelding - Njardvik

Afturelding
0 matches total
Njardvik
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.