Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Egir - Njardvik
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Njardvik — 64%
Pure model vs market (2 · Njardvik): model 55% · market 80% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Egir 17.1%, draw 18.6%, win Njardvik 64.3%. Model favourite — Njardvik.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Nyardvik: probability 59% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.53)
- • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Egir - Njardvik July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 12.50 / X 7.20 / 2 1.15
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Now in play
score 0:1 · 33'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
33'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
Match momentum (live)
0:1 33'Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.
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Egir - Njardvik
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.78 36.0% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.39 71.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.07 93.5% |
| 1x | 2.67 37.5% | 4.50 22.2% |
| x2 | 1.08 92.6% | 1.03 97.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.95 20.2% | |
| X | 2.73 36.6% |
| 1.85 54.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.88 53.2% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 4.7 | 4.15 | 1.52 |
| Winline | 4.6 | 4.2 | 1.57 |
| Fonbet | 4.7 | 4.15 | 1.52 |
| Betcity | 4.9 | 4.3 | 1.55 |
Egir
Grotta
Kopavogyur
Filkir
Afturelding
Grindavik
Njardvik
Kopavogyur
Filkir
Grindavik
Trottyur
Afturelding
Full head-to-head historyEgir - Njardvik
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Egir - Njardvik breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form