Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Filkir - Volsungur
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Filkir — 76%
Pure model vs market (1 · Filkir): model 52% · market 78% Δ −26 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Filkir 76.1%, draw 14.3%, win Volsungur 9.7%. Model favourite — Filkir.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Filkir: probability 74% vs 82% on the line (odds 1.22)
- • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 3:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Filkir - Volsungur July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / X 6.80 / 2 11.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Filkir - Volsungur
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.09 47.9% |
| yes | 1.66 60.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.08 92.6% |
| x2 | 4.00 25.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.47 68.0% | |
| X | 3.24 30.9% |
| 8.30 12.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.94 51.6% |
Filkir
IR Reykyavik
Nyardvik
Vestri
Egir
Kopavogyur
Volsungur
Grindavik
Trottyur
Afturelding
Leyknir
Nyardvik
Full head-to-head historyFilkir - Volsungur
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Filkir - Volsungur breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form