Iceland: Division 1 Standings
IR Reykyavik - Egir
IR Reykyavik face Egir on August 6, 2026 in the Iceland: Division 1 Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): IR Reykyavik 1-2-2, Egir 0-0-5. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 IR Reykyavik — 50%
Pure model vs market (1 · IR Reykyavik): model 60% · market 58% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win IR Reykyavik 50.1%, draw 19.6%, win Egir 30.3%. Model favourite — IR Reykyavik.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs IR Reykyavik: probability 50% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.42)
- • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction IR Reykyavik - Egir August 6, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.58 / X 4.40 / 2 4.37
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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IR Reykyavik - Egir
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.95 33.9% |
| yes | 1.35 74.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 1.15 87.0% |
| x2 | 2.13 47.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.98 50.5% | |
| X | 2.61 38.3% |
| 4.51 22.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
IR Reykyavik
Filkir
Grindavik
Kopavogyur
Trottyur
Afturelding
Egir
Nyardvik
Grotta
Kopavogyur
Filkir
Afturelding
Full head-to-head historyIR Reykyavik - Egir
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The IR Reykyavik - Egir breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form