Match center
Start
26.06.2026 17:15 UTC
26.06.2026 17:15 UTC
Finished
Iceland. Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik - IR Reykjavik
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Leiknir Reykjavik - IR Reykjavik June 26, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: IR Reykjavik. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.55 / X 3.65 / 2 2.35
- Total 2.5: over probability 0.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.2%
1
35.9%
X
25.1%
2
39.0%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
Glavnyy konsensus AI: 2
Main outcome
Agreement
4/5
Confidence
50.3%
Total
Under 2.5
Score
1:1
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
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Match center
Leiknir Reykjavik - IR Reykjavik
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Leiknir Reykjavik
36.4%
-
Draw
23.8%
-
draw risk
IR Reykjavik
39.7%
-
market favourite
Total 2.5
Over 0.0%
-
Under 0.0%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.00
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.35
Fonbet · line only
X
3.65
Fonbet · line only
1
2.55
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.25
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.52
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.45
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
1.78
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.92
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.57
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.25
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.35
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.53
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.52 65.8% |
| x2 | 1.45 69.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.17 85.5% | |
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 4.70 21.3% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 1.92 52.1% | |
| 4.20 23.8% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 1.14 87.7% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.78 56.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Bettery | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | — | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | — | 3.85 26.0% |
| Over 5.5 | — | — | — | 6.40 15.6% |
| Under 0.5 | — | — | — | 3.70 27.0% |
| Under 1.5 | — | — | — | 4.40 22.7% |
| Under 2.5 | — | — | — | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.59 62.9% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.53 65.4% |
| Under 4.5 | — | — | — | 1.20 83.3% |
| Under 5.5 | — | — | — | 1.07 93.5% |
Match center
Leiknir Reykjavik
W
W
Leiknir Reykjavik
1:0
Vestri
Vestri
Leiknir Reykjavik
3:0
Egir
Egir
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
6
Points
IR Reykjavik
L
L
IR Reykjavik
1:5
Nyardvik
Nyardvik
IR Reykjavik
0:1
Vestri
Vestri
0
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
0.5
Scored
3.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLeiknir Reykjavik - IR Reykjavik
Leiknir Reykjavik
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.