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Iceland. Division 1
Iceland. Division 1
06.08.2026 19:15 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
06.08.2026 19:15 UTC
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Iceland. Division 1

Leiknir Reykjavik - Filkir

Football
Leiknir Reykjavik
Leiknir Reykjavik
- : -
Not started
Filkir
Filkir

Leiknir Reykjavik face Filkir on August 6, 2026 in the Iceland. Division 1.

Recent form (W-D-L): Leiknir Reykjavik 0-1-4, Filkir 4-0-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Leiknir Reykjavik — 70%

Pure model vs market (1 · Leiknir Reykjavik): model 35% · market 20% Δ +15 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Leiknir Reykjavik ✓ Pick70.1%
market20%
X · draw13.8%
market23%
2 · Filkir16.1%
market57%

Model estimate: win Leiknir Reykjavik 70.1%, draw 13.8%, win Filkir 16.1%. Model favourite — Leiknir Reykjavik.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Leiknir Reykjavik (odds1.70) Score 2:1 confidence 59%
  • • Model backs Leyknir: probability 59% vs 59% on the line (odds 1.70)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leiknir Reykjavik - Filkir August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Filkir. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.45 / X 3.95 / 2 1.61

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%
1 ✓ Pick 20.5%
X 23.0%
2 56.5%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 19:15 UTC
Market 1 20.4% @ 4.45 / X 23.0% @ 3.95 / 2 56.5% @ 1.61
Match center

Leiknir Reykjavik - Filkir

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Leiknir Reykjavik - 70.1% model pick
Draw - 13.8% draw risk
Filkir - 16.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 70.1% / 13.8% / 16.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,383 / 1,566 Leiknir Reykjavik / Filkir
RD 166 / 146 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,051-1,715 / 1,273-1,858 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.61 market consensus · no value · model 16.1%
X 3.95 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.45 market consensus · weak value +212.0% · model 70.1%
Handicap
2 0 1.28 market consensus · line only
1 0 3.30 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Leon
3.30 30.3%
1.28 78.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
4.45 22.5%
X 3.95 25.3%
1.61 62.1%
Match center
Leiknir Reykjavik
L L L L D
29.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Leiknir Reykjavik 0:1 GrindavikGrindavik
23.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Leiknir Reykjavik 1:6 TrottyurTrottyur
16.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Leiknir Reykjavik 2:3 AftureldingAfturelding
10.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Leiknir Reykjavik 0:1 GrottaGrotta
04.07 14:00 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Leiknir Reykjavik 3:3 VolsungurVolsungur
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.8 Conceded
1 Points
Filkir
W L W W W
29.07 16:00 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Filkir 3:1 VolsungurVolsungur
25.07 12:00 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Filkir 0:2 IR ReykyavikIR Reykyavik
17.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Filkir 4:1 NyardvikNyardvik
13.07 18:15 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Filkir 5:2 VestriVestri
03.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Division 1 Standings
Filkir 4:2 EgirEgir
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeiknir Reykjavik - Filkir

Leiknir Reykjavik
0 matches total
Filkir
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history