Iceland: Division 2 Standings
Magni - KFA
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 KFA — 52%
Pure model vs market (2 · KFA): model 54% · market 54% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Magni 26.8%, draw 21.0%, win KFA 52.2%. Model favourite — KFA.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs KFA: probability 58% vs 20% on the line (odds 5.10)
- • edge over the line +38 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Magni - KFA July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.51 / X 5.00 / 2 1.75
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Magni - KFA
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 3.29 30.4% |
| yes | 1.29 77.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.15 87.0% | 1.18 84.8% |
| 1x | 1.91 52.4% | 1.96 51.0% |
| x2 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.27 78.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.71 27.0% | |
| X | 2.66 37.6% |
| 2.15 46.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.79 55.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.91 52.4% |
Magni
Gardabaer
Folnir
Khayukar
Vogar
Vikingur Oulafsvik
KFA
Vogar
Selfoss
Kari
Vikingur Oulafsvik
Khviti
Full head-to-head historyMagni - KFA
Match history
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The Magni - KFA breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form