Iceland: Division 2 Standings
Vikingur Olafsvik - Fjolnir
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Fjolnir — 45%
Pure model vs market (2 · Fjolnir): model 30% · market 47% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Vikingur Olafsvik 32.4%, draw 22.3%, win Fjolnir 45.3%. Model favourite — Fjolnir.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Vikingur Oulafsvik: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.05)
- • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Vikingur Olafsvik - Fjolnir July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.00 / X 4.20 / 2 1.99
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Vikingur Olafsvik - Fjolnir
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 3.60 27.8% |
| yes | 1.25 80.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.66 60.2% | 1.80 55.6% |
| x2 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.34 74.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.21 31.2% | |
| X | 2.57 38.9% |
| 2.45 40.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.79 55.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.91 52.4% |
Vikingur Olafsvik
Dalvik/Reynir
Khviti
Kormakur/Hvot
KFA
Magni
Fjolnir
Khayukar
Magni
Dalvik/Reynir
Kormakur/Hvot
Vogar
Full head-to-head historyVikingur Olafsvik - Fjolnir
Match history
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The Vikingur Olafsvik - Fjolnir breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form