Match center
Start
26.06.2026 17:15 UTC
26.06.2026 17:15 UTC
Finished
Iceland: Division 2 Standings
Vogar - Folnir
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Vogar - Folnir June 26, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Vogar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.43 / X 5.50 / 2 4.70
- Total 2.5: over probability 0.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.4%
1
63.9%
X
16.6%
2
19.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
Glavnyy konsensus AI: 2
Main outcome
Agreement
5/5
Confidence
53.7%
Total
Over 2.5
Score
1:2
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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Match center
Vogar - Folnir
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
3:2
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Vogar
30.1%
-
Draw
23.3%
-
draw risk
Folnir
46.6%
-
market favourite
Total 2.5
Over 0.0%
-
Under 0.0%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.00
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.70
Fonbet · line only
X
5.50
Fonbet · line only
1
1.43
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.13
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.16
Fonbet · line only
X2
2.55
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
3.95
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.19
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.25
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
3.30
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
5.70
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.09
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 5.70 17.5% |
| yes | 1.09 91.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 1.16 86.2% |
| x2 | 2.55 39.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | |
| 3.20 31.3% | |
| 5.70 17.5% | |
| 1.19 84.0% | |
| 8.00 12.5% | |
| 7.70 13.0% | |
| 1.73 57.8% | |
| 1.28 78.1% | |
| 1.09 91.7% | |
| 3.95 25.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Bettery | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | — | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | — | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 5.5 | — | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 6.5 | — | — | — | 2.85 35.1% |
| Over 7.5 | — | — | — | 4.50 22.2% |
| Under 0.5 | — | — | — | 3.55 28.2% |
| Under 1.5 | — | — | — | 3.25 30.8% |
| Under 2.5 | — | — | — | 3.30 30.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 5.50 18.2% |
Match center
Vogar
L
L
D
Vogar
1:2
Vikingur Oulafsvik
Vikingur Oulafsvik
Vogar
0:1
Dalvik/Reynir
Dalvik/Reynir
Vogar
1:1
Kormakur/Hvot
Kormakur/Hvot
0
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.7
Scored
1.3
Conceded
1
Points
Folnir
L
L
L
Folnir
0:2
KFA
KFA
Folnir
2:3
Selfoss
Selfoss
Folnir
3:4
Gardabaer
Gardabaer
0
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.7
Scored
3.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyVogar - Folnir
Vogar
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.