Iceland. Premier League
Breidablik go head-to-head with Valyur on August 9, 2026 in the Iceland. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Breidablik 3-0-2, Valyur 0-0-5. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Breidablik — 57%
Pure model vs market (1 · Breidablik): model 62% · market 57% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Breidablik 57.0%, draw 21.0%, win Valyur 22.1%. Model favourite — Breidablik.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 3.25 30.8% |
| yes | 1.30 76.9% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.15 87.0% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.19 84.0% | 1.19 84.0% |
| x2 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.16 46.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.06 48.5% | |
| X | 2.61 38.3% |
| 4.14 24.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.78 56.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
Breidablik
Tor Akyureyri
Vestmannaeyyar
Khabnarfordyur
Keblavik
Akranes
Valyur
Styarnan
Fram
Khabnarfordyur
Vestmannaeyyar
Vikingur Reykyavik
Full head-to-head historyBreidablik - Valyur
The Breidablik - Valyur breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
