Iceland. Premier League
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Vikingur Reykjavik — 62%
Pure model vs market (2 · Vikingur Reykjavik): model 58% · market 63% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win IA Akranes 18.7%, draw 19.1%, win Vikingur Reykjavik 62.1%. Model favourite — Vikingur Reykjavik.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.16 86.2% |
| 1x | 2.43 41.2% | 2.48 40.3% |
| x2 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.14 87.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.98 50.5% | 2.02 49.5% | |
| 1.74 57.5% | 1.74 57.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.69 59.2% | 1.77 56.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 2.05 48.8% | 1.98 50.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 4.90 20.4% | 5.20 19.2% | |
| X | 4.80 20.8% | 4.90 20.4% |
| 1.48 67.6% | 1.50 66.7% |
IA Akranes
Styarnan
Keblavik
Akyureyri
Breydablik
Fram
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keblavik
Tor Akyureyri
Akyureyri
Valyur
Full head-to-head historyIA Akranes - Vikingur Reykjavik
The IA Akranes - Vikingur Reykjavik breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
