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Iceland. Premier League
Iceland. Premier League
04.08.2026 19:15 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 19:15 UTC
Not started

Iceland. Premier League

Hafnarfjordur - KR Reykjavik

Football
Hafnarfjordur
Hafnarfjordur
- : -
Not started
KR Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik

Hafnarfjordur meet KR Reykjavik on August 4, 2026 in the Iceland. Premier League.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hafnarfjordur 2-2-0, KR Reykjavik 2-1-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 KR Reykjavik — 55%

Pure model vs market (2 · KR Reykjavik): model 48% · market 55% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hafnarfjordur25.2%
X · draw20.1%
2 · KR Reykjavik54.7%

Model estimate: win Hafnarfjordur 25.2%, draw 20.1%, win KR Reykjavik 54.7%. Model favourite — KR Reykjavik.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2KR Reykjavik (odds2.16) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs KR Reykyavik: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.16)
  • • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hafnarfjordur - KR Reykjavik August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: KR Reykjavik. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.80 / X 4.70 / 2 1.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7% 3 books · best price +1.2%
1 24.9%
X 20.0%
2 55.1%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 19:15 UTC
Market 1 24.7% @ 3.80 / X 20.0% @ 4.70 / 2 55.3% @ 1.70
Match center

Hafnarfjordur - KR Reykjavik

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hafnarfjordur 24.9% 25.2%
Draw 20.0% 20.1% draw risk
KR Reykjavik 55.1% 54.7% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 25.2% / 20.1% / 54.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,514 / 1,805 Hafnarfjordur / KR Reykjavik
RD 203 / 237 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,109-1,919 / 1,331-2,278 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 market consensus · no value · model 54.7%
X 4.57 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.70 market consensus · no value · model 25.2%
Double chance
12 1.16 market consensus · no value · model 79.9%
1X 2.07 market consensus · no value · model 45.3%
X2 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 74.8%
Handicap
2 -1 2.05 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.36 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.70 market consensus · line only
1 0 3.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.22 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 3.80 26.3%
yes 1.22 82.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5%
1x 2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1%
x2 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.77 26.5%
X 2.78 36.0%
2.06 48.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 1.5 2.11 47.4%
Match center
Hafnarfjordur
D W W D
26.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
Hafnarfjordur 0:0 FramFram
20.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
Hafnarfjordur 7:0 BreydablikBreydablik
12.07 18:05 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
Hafnarfjordur 2:0 ValyurValyur
03.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
Hafnarfjordur 2:2 StyarnanStyarnan
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.5 Conceded
8 Points
KR Reykjavik
W W D
19.07 14:00 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
KR Reykjavik 5:0 StyarnanStyarnan
12.07 16:00 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
KR Reykjavik 5:2 VestmannaeyyarVestmannaeyyar
02.07 15:00 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
KR Reykjavik 3:3 Tor AkyureyriTor Akyureyri
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
4.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
7 Points