Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Iceland. Premier League
Iceland. Premier League
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 19:15 UTC 17-y Round
Not started

Iceland. Premier League

FH hafnarfjordur - KR Reykjavik

Football
FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
- : -
Not started
KR Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik

FH hafnarfjordur meet KR Reykjavik on August 5, 2026 in the Iceland. Premier League.

Recent form (W-D-L): FH hafnarfjordur 2-2-0, KR Reykjavik 2-1-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 KR Reykjavik54%

Pure model vs market (2 · KR Reykjavik): model 48% · market 55% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · FH hafnarfjordur25.6%
X · draw20.1%
2 · KR Reykjavik54.4%

Model estimate: win FH hafnarfjordur 25.6%, draw 20.1%, win KR Reykjavik 54.4%. Model favourite — KR Reykjavik.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2KR Reykjavik (odds2.16) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs KR Reykyavik: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.16)
  • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FH hafnarfjordur - KR Reykjavik August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: KR Reykjavik. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.80 / X 4.70 / 2 1.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6% 3 books · best price +1.2%
1 25.3%
X 20.0%
2 54.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Úrvalsdeild
League table
FH hafnarfjordur
#1113 ptsGP 162-7-720:31
KR Reykjavik
#335 ptsGP 1611-2-358:36
Best price across 14 books
1 3.80 Marathonbet
X 4.61 Pinnacle
2 1.72 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
FH hafnarfjordur
W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.29 xG 1.65 xGA 1.99
KR Reykjavik
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 3.31 Conceded 2.50 xG 2.59 xGA 1.79

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
FH hafnarfjordur
Rating 1458 xG 1.11 Win 20%
KR Reykjavik
Rating 1652 xG 2.08 Win 60%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 05.08.2026 19:15 UTC
Market 1 24.7% @ 3.80 / X 20.0% @ 4.70 / 2 55.3% @ 1.70
Match center

FH hafnarfjordur - KR Reykjavik

football, Khabnarfordyur - KR Reykyavik, 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Khabnarfordyur - KR Reykyavik, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Islandii po futbolu 2026, 17-y Round.

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
FH hafnarfjordur 25.3% 25.6%
Draw 20.0% 20.1% draw risk
KR Reykjavik 54.8% 54.4% market and model agree
xG - 1.11 : 2.08

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 25.6% / 20.1% / 54.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,514 / 1,805 Hafnarfjordur / KR Reykyavik
RD 203 / 237 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,109-1,919 / 1,330-2,279 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.69 market consensus · no value · model 54.4%
X 4.61 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.66 market consensus · no value · model 25.6%
Double chance
12 1.16 market consensus · no value · model 79.9%
1X 2.06 market consensus · no value · model 45.6%
X2 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 74.4%
Handicap
2 -1 2.10 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.36 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.65 market consensus · line only
1 0 3.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.23 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 3.70 27.0%
yes 1.23 81.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5%
1x 2.03 49.3% 2.08 48.1%
x2 1.24 80.7% 1.24 80.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.75 26.7%
X 2.75 36.4%
2.08 48.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.67 59.9%
Under 1.5 2.08 48.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-4, avg 3.8 gls
2026-04-27 · Khabnarfordyur 2:4 Reykyavik
2025-06-29 · Khabnarfordyur 2:3 Reykyavik
2025-04-23 · Khabnarfordyur 2:2 Reykyavik
2024-08-12 · Khabnarfordyur 0:1 Reykyavik
2024-05-20 · Khabnarfordyur 1:2 Reykyavik
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 4.2 (Betcity) · X 4.7 (Pari) · 2 1.71 (Liga Stavok)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 3.75 4.7 1.7
Winline 3.65 4.3 1.69
Fonbet 3.75 4.7 1.7
Betcity 4.2 4.7 1.63
Liga Stavok 3.65 4.3 1.71
Source: ruscore · line comparison
FH hafnarfjordur
D W W D
26.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
FH hafnarfjordur 0:0 FramFram
20.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
FH hafnarfjordur 7:0 BreydablikBreydablik
12.07 18:05 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
FH hafnarfjordur 2:0 ValyurValyur
03.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
FH hafnarfjordur 2:2 StyarnanStyarnan
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.5 Conceded
8 Points
KR Reykjavik
W W D
19.07 14:00 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
KR Reykjavik 5:0 StyarnanStyarnan
12.07 16:00 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
KR Reykjavik 5:2 VestmannaeyyarVestmannaeyyar
02.07 15:00 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings
KR Reykjavik 3:3 Tor AkyureyriTor Akyureyri
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
4.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
7 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 FH hafnarfjordur
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 KR Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur Team comparison KR Reykjavik
16 Games 16
2 Wins 11
7 Draws 2
7 Losses 3
20 Scored 58
31 Conceded 36
13 Points 35
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
16 Games 16
2 Wins 11
7 Draws 2
7 Losses 3
20 Scored 58
31 Conceded 36

Khabnarfordyur KR Reykyavik 16 Games 16 2 Wins 11 7 Draws 2 7 Losses 3 20 Scored 58 31 Conceded 36 13 Points 35 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 1.75 Warnings 1.88 0.13 Sendoffs 0.06 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 100% 0% 0% Double chance 50% 50% 0% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1304988' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');