Iceland. Premier League
Thor Akureyri go head-to-head with Breidablik on August 4, 2026 in the Iceland. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Thor Akureyri 1-2-2, Breidablik 3-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Breidablik — 54%
Pure model vs market (2 · Breidablik): model 36% · market 55% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Thor Akureyri 24.5%, draw 21.7%, win Breidablik 53.8%. Model favourite — Breidablik.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
football, Tour - Breydablik, 4 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Tour - Breydablik, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Islandii po futbolu 2026, 17-y Round.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.97 33.7% |
| yes | 1.34 74.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 2.05 48.8% | 2.08 48.1% |
| x2 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.21 82.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.09 24.5% | |
| X | 2.54 39.4% |
| 2.12 47.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.88 53.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
Thor Akureyri
Akyureyri
Vikingur Reykyavik
Fram
KR Reykyavik
Vestmannaeyyar
Breidablik
Vestmannaeyyar
Khabnarfordyur
Keblavik
Akranes
Full head-to-head historyThor Akureyri - Breidablik
Tour Breydablik 16 Games 16 3 Wins 8 3 Draws 5 10 Losses 3 17 Scored 35 42 Conceded 26 12 Points 29 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 2.5 Warnings 1.88 0.06 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 18% 9% 73% Double chance 14% 45% 41% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1304996' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');
The Thor Akureyri - Breidablik breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
