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Iceland. Premier League
Iceland. Premier League
14.06.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Iceland. Premier League

Thor Akureyri - IB Vestmannaeyjar

Football
Thor Akureyri
Thor Akureyri
1 : 4
Finished
IB Vestmannaeyjar
IB Vestmannaeyjar

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Thor Akureyri - IB Vestmannaeyjar June 14, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: IB Vestmannaeyjar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.95 / X 4.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 57.9%
1 21.5%
X 15.8%
2 62.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

VALUE

Fonbet · historical ROI

Extra value signals (not 1x2)

LOW

Total goals: Under 3.5

odds 1.72 hist. ROI +2.0%

Under 3.5 (zaschitnyy match)

Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

Thor Akureyri - IB Vestmannaeyjar

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 3.95 market consensus · line only
1 2.89 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 9.50 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.13 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 4.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 7.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.30 76.9%
yes 3.10 32.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.05 95.2%
1x 9.50 10.5%
x2 1.02 98.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.02 49.5%
5.20 19.2%
4.80 20.8%
11.00 9.1%
11.50 8.7%
1.70 58.8%
1.11 90.1%
1.55 64.5%
1.10 90.9%
1.75 57.1%
10.00 10.0%
9.50 10.5%
11.00 9.1%
11.50 8.7%
1.13 88.5%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Fonbet
Over 0.5 — — — 1.32 75.8%
Over 1 — — — 6.90 14.5%
Over 1.5 — — — 1.03 97.1%
Over 2 — — — 4.40 22.7%
Over 2.5 — — — 1.05 95.2%
Over 3 — — — 1.40 71.4%
Over 3.5 2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% 2.05 48.8% 1.80 55.6%
Over 4 — — — 3.25 30.8%
Over 4.5 — — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 5 — — — 5.20 19.2%
Over 5.5 — — — 7.00 14.3%
Over 6 — — — 3.50 28.6%
Under 3.5 1.71 58.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% —