Iceland. Premier League
Valyur meet Stjarnan on August 2, 2026 in the Iceland. Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Valyur 0-0-4, Stjarnan 0-1-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Valyur — 41%
Pure model vs market (1 · Valyur): model 49% · market 40% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Valyur 40.7%, draw 23.3%, win Stjarnan 36.0%. Model favourite — Valyur.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 3.42 29.2% |
| yes | 1.27 78.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 1.44 69.4% | 1.48 67.6% |
| x2 | 1.56 64.1% | 1.54 64.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.66 37.6% | |
| X | 2.53 39.5% |
| 2.94 34.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.91 52.4% |
Valyur
Fram
Khabnarfordyur
Vestmannaeyyar
Vikingur Reykyavik
Stjarnan
Akranes
KR Reykyavik
Khabnarfordyur
Full head-to-head historyValyur - Stjarnan
The Valyur - Stjarnan breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
