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Iceland. Premier League

17-y Round 03.08.2026 19:15 UTC

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

03.08.2026 19:15 UTC 17-y Round

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Iceland. Premier League

Valyur - Stjarnan

Football

Stadium N1-Vedlyurinn (Reykyavik, Iceland), vmestimost: 2489

Valyur

- : -

Not started

Stjarnan

Valyur face Stjarnan on August 3, 2026 in the Iceland. Premier League.

Recent form (W-D-L): Valyur 0-4, Stjarnan 0-1-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Valyur — 41%

Pure model vs market (1 · Valyur):model 49% · market 41% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Valyur41.5%

X · draw22.5%

2 · Stjarnan36.0%

Model estimate: win Valyur 41.5%, draw 22.5%, win Stjarnan 36.0%. Model favourite — Valyur.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.96) Score 1:1 confidence 50%

• Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 25% on the line (odds 3.96)
• edge over the line +25 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valyur - Stjarnan August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Valyur. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.32 / X 4.20 / 2 2.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1%

1 40.6%

X 22.4%

2 37.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Valyur 2 : 2 Stjarnan

12.26

X3.94

22.60

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Stadium N1-Vedlyurinn (Reykyavik, Iceland), vmestimost: 2489

Start 03.08.2026 19:15 UTC

Market 1 40.6% @ 2.32 / X 22.4% @ 4.20 / 2 37.0% @ 2.55

Match center

Valyur - Stjarnan

football, Valyur - Styarnan, 3 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Valyur - Styarnan, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Islandii po futbolu 2026, 17-y Round.

Form 4/3 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Overview

More needed

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Valyur 41.0% 41.5% market and model agree

Draw 22.6% 22.5% draw risk

Stjarnan 36.4% 36.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 41.5% / 22.5% / 36.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,176 / 1,103 Valyur / Stjarnan

RD 219 / 199 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 738-1,614 / 706-1,501 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.54 market consensus · no value · model 36.0%

X 4.11 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.25 market consensus · no value · model 41.5%

Double chance

12 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 77.5%

1X 1.46 market consensus · no value · model 64.0%

X2 1.58 market consensus · no value · model 58.5%

Handicap

2 0 1.99 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.76 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 3.62 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.24 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	3.62 27.6%
yes	1.24 80.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%
1x	1.44 69.4%	1.48 67.6%
x2	1.59 62.9%	1.57 63.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.61 38.3%
X	2.57 38.9%
	2.95 33.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	1.75 57.1%
Under 1.5	1.97 50.8%

Match center

Valyur

L L L L

18.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings

Valyur 2:3 Fram

12.07 18:05 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings

Valyur 0:2 Khabnarfordyur

04.07 14:00 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings

Valyur 0:1 Vestmannaeyyar

31.05 17:15 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings

Valyur 1:5 Vikingur Reykyavik

0 Wins

0 Draws

4 Losses

0.8 Scored

2.8 Conceded

0 Points

Stjarnan

L L D

26.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings

Stjarnan 1:5 Akranes

19.07 14:00 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings

Stjarnan 0:5 KR Reykyavik

03.07 17:15 UTC Iceland: Luchshiy Division Standings

Stjarnan 2:2 Khabnarfordyur

0 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

4.0 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyValyur - Stjarnan

Valyur

0 matches total

Stjarnan

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Valyur

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Stjarnan

16 Games 16

6 Wins 4

1 Draws 3

9 Losses 9

26 Scored 29

32 Conceded 41

19 Points 15

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Udary v stvor 0

16 Games 16

6 Wins 4

1 Draws 3

9 Losses 9

26 Scored 29

32 Conceded 41

Valyur Styarnan 16 Games 16 6 Wins 4 1 Draws 3 9 Losses 9 26 Scored 29 32 Conceded 41 19 Points 15 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 1.94 Warnings 2.19 0.19 Sendoffs 0.06 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 43% 14% 43% Double chance 29% 42% 29% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1304994' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');