Hungary: NB I. Standings
MTK Budapest - Puskas Academy
MTK Budapest take on Puskas Academy on August 7, 2026 in the Hungary: NB I. Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): MTK Budapest 1-0-0, Puskas Academy 1-1-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 MTK Budapest — 54%
Model estimate: win MTK Budapest 53.8%, draw 19.6%, win Puskas Academy 26.6%. Model favourite — MTK Budapest.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs MTK Budapesht: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.25)
- • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction MTK Budapest - Puskas Academy August 7, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.66 / X 3.60 / 2 2.38
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
NB IHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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MTK Budapest - Puskas Academy
football, MTK - Akademiya Pushkasha, 7 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha MTK - Akademiya Pushkasha, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Vengrii po futbolu (OTP Bank Liga) 2027, 3-y Round.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.28 43.9% |
| yes | 1.56 64.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 1.49 67.1% | 1.53 65.4% |
| x2 | 1.41 70.9% | 1.42 70.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.20 31.3% | |
| X | 2.21 45.3% |
| 2.98 33.6% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.31 43.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.4 | 3.6 | 2.55 |
| Winline | 2.4 | 3.45 | 2.65 |
| Fonbet | 2.4 | 3.6 | 2.55 |
| Betcity | 2.4 | 3.7 | 2.55 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.39 | 3.4 | 2.65 |
MTK Budapest
Zalaegerseg
Full head-to-head historyMTK Budapest - Puskas Academy
Match history
MTK Akademiya Pushkasha 2 Games 2 1 Wins 1 Draws 0 Losses 1 6 Scored 2 3 Conceded 2 4 Points 3 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 12 Shots on goal 12 5 Udary v stvor 4 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2 Uglovye 5.5 1 Offsaydy 1 12 Foly 11.5 52.5 % vladeniya myachom 51 1 Warnings 2 0 Sendoffs 1 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 100% 0% 0% Double chance 50% 50% 0% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1327520' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form